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Boness United vs Broxburn Athletic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Jones S.
52'
Irving D.
76' Event
Grant T.

AI Match Summary

Broxburn Athletic in this Lowland League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Broxburn Athletic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Boness United
15%
Draws
51%
Broxburn Athletic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Broxburn Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Broxburn Athletic lately — more wins on the board than Boness United.
  • Broxburn Athletic are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Boness United Clean Sheet 10%
Broxburn Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boness United Broxburn Athletic
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.52 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Lowland League
Boness United vs Broxburn Athletic
1:2
Jan 3, 2026 Lowland League
Broxburn Athletic vs Boness United
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 Lowland League
Boness United vs Broxburn Athletic
1:2
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Boness United vs Broxburn Athletic
0:0
Oct 16, 2024 Lowland League
Boness United vs Broxburn Athletic
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boness United Compare

Top Goalscorer Grant T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Broxburn Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Jones S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McDonald M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boness United 10 / 100
Broxburn Athletic 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boness United Broxburn Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Broxburn Athletic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boness United scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Broxburn Athletic conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Boness United stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boness United VS Broxburn Athletic
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Boness United

(Home)
03 Oct
Boness United
3 : 2
Irvine Meadow
26 Sept
Linlithgow Rose
4 : 1
Boness United
19 Sept
Boness United
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
15 Sept
Lochee United
5 : 0
Boness United
12 Sept
Boness United
1 : 2
Broxburn Athletic
Page 1 of 6

Broxburn Athletic

(Away)
03 Oct
Renfrew
3 : 2
Broxburn Athletic
26 Sept
East Stirlingshire
1 : 2
Broxburn Athletic
19 Sept
Broxburn Athletic
0 : 4
Linlithgow Rose
12 Sept
Boness United
1 : 2
Broxburn Athletic
29 Aug
Broxburn Athletic
2 : 0
Berwick
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 9 8 1 0 18:5 25
2 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
3 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
4 Broxburn Athletic 9 7 1 1 15:8 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 10 5 2 3 25:18 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
14 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
15 Renfrew 10 2 1 7 18:29 7
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)