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Boness United vs Forfar Athletic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Scottish Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Boness United have averaged 1.57 scored and 1.83 conceded recently, against Forfar Athletic's 1.13 scored and 1.91 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.56 - 1.44) back Boness United to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Boness United
15%
Draws
42%
Forfar Athletic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boness United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Forfar Athletic haven't matched Boness United's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Boness United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Boness United Clean Sheet 16%
Forfar Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boness United Forfar Athletic
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.57 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boness United 31 / 100
Forfar Athletic 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boness United Forfar Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forfar Athletic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boness United's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Forfar Athletic has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Forfar Athletic lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Recent resilience: Boness United stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boness United VS Forfar Athletic
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Boness United

(Home)
03 Oct
Boness United
3 : 2
Irvine Meadow
26 Sept
Linlithgow Rose
4 : 1
Boness United
19 Sept
Boness United
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
15 Sept
Boness United
0 : 5
Lochee United
12 Sept
Boness United
1 : 2
Broxburn Athletic
Page 1 of 6

Forfar Athletic

(Away)
13 Oct
Ross County
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
10 Oct
Forfar Athletic
1 : 2
Elgin City
03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
29 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 0
Formartine Utd
26 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 1
Dundee Utd B
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Boness United 3
Irvine Meadow 2
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Edinburgh City -
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Kelty Hearts -
Rothes 0
Brora Rangers 9
Cowdenbeath 4
Berwick 0
Newton Stewart 1
Johnstone Burgh 3
Civil Service Strollers 0
Formartine Utd 2
Brechin 3
Buckie Thistle 2
Strathspey Thistle 3
Dalbeattie Star 2
Lochee United 3
Inverurie Loco Works 2
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Spartans -
Haddington Athletic 0
Cumbernauld Colts 2
Kirkintilloch Rob Roy 1
Banks O' Dee 2
Hill Of Beath 2
Glasgow University 0
Musselburgh 2
Lossiemouth 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers 0
Largs Thistle 1
Dunipace 5
Preston Athletic 2
Dumbarton -
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Keith 2
Stonehaven 1
Nairn County 0
Gretna 2008 1
Cumnock Juniors 2
Auchinleck Talbot 0
Deveronvale 2
Troon FC 3
Caledonian Braves 4
Fraserburgh 0
Beith 0
Huntly 3
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Annan -
Forres Mechanics 0
Stirling University 1
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Elgin City -
Renfrew 3
Broxburn Athletic 2
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Stirling -
Bonnyton Thistle 2
East Stirlingshire 0
Clachnacuddin 2
Bonnyrigg Rose 0
Stranraer -
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Tayport FC 3
Wick Academy 0
Penicuik 3
Kilwinning Rangers 1
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Clyde -
Threave Rovers 3
Invergordon 2
Pollok 4
Albion Rovers 1
Linlithgow Rose 0
Clydebank FC 1
Tranent FC 3
Turriff United 1
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1/64-finals
Boness United -
Forfar Athletic -
Edinburgh City -
Kelty Hearts -
Brora Rangers -
Cowdenbeath -
Johnstone Burgh -
Formartine Utd -
Brechin -
Strathspey Thistle -
Lochee United -
Spartans -
Cumbernauld Colts -
Banks O' Dee -
Hill Of Beath -
Musselburgh -
Largs Thistle -
Dunipace -
Dumbarton -
Keith -
Gretna 2008 -
Cumnock Juniors -
Troon FC -
Caledonian Braves -
Huntly -
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Stirling University -
Elgin City -
Renfrew -
Stirling -
Bonnyton Thistle -
Clachnacuddin -
Stranraer -
Tayport FC -
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Semi-finals
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Final
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