Sport Picks
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Airdrieonians - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Challenge Cup New Dundas Park, Bonnyrigg 
Match Events
21'
21'
Iserhienrhien D.
25'
25'
Currie L.
28'
28'
Iserhienrhien D.
Assist: Gibson L.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-6. The second leg ended 1-6.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Airdrieonians
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Bonnyrigg Rose come out ahead of Airdrieonians on wins alone.
- Model gives Airdrieonians a 53% chance of winning this.
- Bonnyrigg Rose have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Airdrieonians, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Airdrieonians have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Bonnyrigg Rose Clean Sheet 10%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bonnyrigg Rose | Airdrieonians |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 22, 2026 Challenge Cup
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Airdrieonians
1:6
Jul 15, 2025 League Cup
Airdrieonians vs Bonnyrigg Rose
3:0
Jul 29, 2023 League Cup
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Airdrieonians
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bonnyrigg Rose Compare
Top Goalscorer Currie L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Airdrieonians Compare
Top Goalscorer Iserhienrhien D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Gallagher G.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bonnyrigg Rose 10 / 100
Airdrieonians 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bonnyrigg Rose Airdrieonians
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Airdrieonians Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bonnyrigg Rose's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Airdrieonians conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.
Recent resilience: Bonnyrigg Rose stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bonnyrigg Rose VS Airdrieonians
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bonnyrigg Rose
(Home) 03 Oct
Clachnacuddin
2 : 0 Bonnyrigg Rose
26 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
3 : 0 Motherwell B
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6 Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
6 : 1 Stirling University
16 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 2 Bonnyrigg Rose
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
3 : 0 Motherwell B
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6 Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
6 : 1 Stirling University
29 Aug
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 2 Hill Of Beath
25 Aug
Bonnyrigg Rose
2 : 1 Rangers B
Page 1 of 3
Airdrieonians
(Away) 03 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 0 Montrose
26 Sept
Airdrieonians
7 : 1 Berwick
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6 Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Peterhead
1 : 2 Airdrieonians
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0 Alloa
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6 Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Peterhead
1 : 2 Airdrieonians
05 Sept
Queen of the South
2 : 1 Airdrieonians
15 Aug
Hamilton
4 : 0 Airdrieonians
11 Aug
Dumbarton
1 : 3 Airdrieonians
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clydebank FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Ross County | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 28:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Airdrieonians | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Elgin City | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | 12 |
| 5 | Cove Rangers | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | 12 |
| 6 | Peterhead | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 7 | Alloa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 8 | Queen of the South | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 11 |
| 9 | East Kilbride | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17:12 | 10 |
| 10 | Stirling | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 11 | Edinburgh City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 12 | St. Mirren B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:8 | 9 |
| 13 | Hamilton | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 14 | Montrose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 15 | Celtic B | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15:12 | 9 |
| 16 | Formartine Utd | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 17 | Kelty Hearts | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:13 | 9 |
| 18 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 19 | Hearts B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:26 | 9 |
| 20 | Annan | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 21 | Spartans | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 22 | Aberdeen B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 7 |
| 23 | East Fife | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 7 |
| 24 | Forfar Athletic | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 25 | Berwick | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 26 | Dumbarton | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 27 | Stranraer | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13:12 | 6 |
| 28 | Rangers B | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 6 |
| 29 | Clachnacuddin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | 4 |
| 30 | Kilmarnock B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 31 | Banks O' Dee | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:14 | 4 |
| 32 | Fraserburgh | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:18 | 4 |
| 33 | Clyde | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:14 | 3 |
| 34 | Dundee Utd B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | 3 |
| 35 | Cumbernauld Colts | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:13 | 2 |
| 36 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:15 | 2 |
| 37 | Cowdenbeath | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:12 | 0 |
| 38 | Dundee FC B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | 0 |
| 39 | Hibernian B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:12 | 0 |
| 40 | Motherwell B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:18 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)
