Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bonnyrigg Rose vs Berwick

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League 2025/2026 New Dundas Park, Bonnyrigg
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Berwick in this Lowland League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Berwick.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bonnyrigg Rose
15%
Draws
34%
Berwick
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bonnyrigg Rose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Berwick haven't matched Bonnyrigg Rose's recent run of results.
  • Bonnyrigg Rose are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Bonnyrigg Rose Clean Sheet 18%
Berwick Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonnyrigg Rose Berwick
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 19 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.33 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Lowland League
Berwick vs Bonnyrigg Rose
0:2
Mar 28, 2026 Lowland League
Berwick vs Bonnyrigg Rose
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 Lowland League
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Berwick
3:4
Jun 29, 2024 Club Friendly
Berwick vs Bonnyrigg Rose
0:3
Mar 12, 2022 Lowland League
Berwick vs Bonnyrigg Rose
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonnyrigg Rose 49 / 100
Berwick 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonnyrigg Rose Berwick

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonnyrigg Rose Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bonnyrigg Rose scored in 97% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Berwick's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Difficult form: Berwick registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bonnyrigg Rose VS Berwick
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonnyrigg Rose

(Home)
19 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
6 : 1
Stirling University
16 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 2
Bonnyrigg Rose
12 Sept
Civil Service Strollers
2 : 0
Bonnyrigg Rose
08 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 1
Bonnyrigg Rose
29 Aug
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 2
Hill Of Beath
Page 1 of 6

Berwick

(Away)
19 Sept
Berwick
0 : 0
Musselburgh
15 Sept
Civil Service Strollers
2 : 1
Berwick
12 Sept
Berwick
1 : 2
Tranent FC
08 Sept
Berwick
1 : 0
Hibernian B
29 Aug
Broxburn Athletic
2 : 0
Berwick
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linlithgow Rose 34 24 3 7 89:39 75
2 Clydebank FC 34 23 4 7 94:39 73
3 Bonnyrigg Rose 34 21 6 7 79:42 69
4 Tranent FC 34 20 7 7 63:32 67
5 Caledonian Braves 34 18 5 11 75:48 59
6 Cumbernauld Colts 34 17 5 12 72:53 56
7 Broxburn Athletic 34 15 7 12 68:61 52
8 Berwick 34 14 7 13 62:68 49
9 Boness United 34 14 6 14 61:56 48
10 Celtic B 34 12 10 12 73:71 46
11 Cowdenbeath 34 12 9 13 51:53 45
12 Gala Fairydean Rovers 34 13 2 19 52:66 41
13 Albion Rovers 34 12 3 19 48:71 39
14 Civil Service Strollers 34 11 5 18 40:79 38
15 Stirling University 34 9 7 18 55:82 34
16 Hearts B 34 7 8 19 42:78 29
17 Gretna 2008 34 7 7 20 50:90 28
18 East Stirlingshire 34 5 3 26 48:94 18
Promotion - Highland League 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)