Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bonnyrigg Rose vs Boness United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League New Dundas Park, Bonnyrigg
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bonnyrigg Rose host Boness United in the Lowland League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Bonnyrigg Rose at 2.15 goals for, 1.42 against; Boness United at 1.78 for, 1.75 against. Past meetings favor Bonnyrigg Rose slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 28, 2026, ending 0:4. xG projections (2.00 - 1.94) back Bonnyrigg Rose to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Bonnyrigg Rose
20%
Draws
51%
Boness United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Boness United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bonnyrigg Rose come out ahead of Boness United on wins alone.
  • Boness United are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bonnyrigg Rose here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Bonnyrigg Rose Clean Sheet 10%
Boness United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonnyrigg Rose Boness United
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 18 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.15 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Lowland League
Boness United vs Bonnyrigg Rose
0:4
Nov 15, 2025 Lowland League
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Boness United
4:0
Sep 30, 2025 Lowland League
Boness United vs Bonnyrigg Rose
1:1
Feb 19, 2022 Lowland League
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Boness United
3:0
Aug 21, 2021 Lowland League
Boness United vs Bonnyrigg Rose
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonnyrigg Rose 22 / 100
Boness United 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonnyrigg Rose Boness United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boness United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonnyrigg Rose's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Boness United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Bonnyrigg Rose went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bonnyrigg Rose VS Boness United
2 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonnyrigg Rose

(Home)
17 Oct
Cowdenbeath
2 : 2
Bonnyrigg Rose
13 Oct
Spartans
1 : 1
Bonnyrigg Rose
03 Oct
Clachnacuddin
2 : 0
Bonnyrigg Rose
26 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
3 : 0
Motherwell B
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6
Airdrieonians
Page 1 of 7

Boness United

(Away)
17 Oct
Boness United
3 : 1
Brechin
03 Oct
Boness United
3 : 2
Irvine Meadow
26 Sept
Linlithgow Rose
4 : 1
Boness United
19 Sept
Boness United
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
15 Sept
Boness United
0 : 5
Lochee United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 11 8 2 1 19:10 26
2 Linlithgow Rose 11 8 1 2 30:12 25
3 Hill Of Beath 11 8 1 2 17:12 25
4 Broxburn Athletic 11 7 3 1 16:9 24
5 Brechin 10 7 1 2 21:13 22
6 Lochee United 11 6 2 3 25:16 20
7 Bonnyrigg Rose 10 6 1 3 25:11 19
8 Civil Service Strollers 11 5 2 4 19:19 17
9 Boness United 11 5 1 5 20:23 16
10 East Stirlingshire 11 3 2 6 17:24 11
11 Cowdenbeath 10 3 1 6 15:17 10
12 Musselburgh 11 2 4 5 10:15 10
13 Gala Fairydean Rovers 10 2 0 8 14:23 6
14 Berwick 10 1 2 7 9:18 5
15 Dunipace 10 1 1 8 7:25 4
16 Stirling University 11 1 0 10 12:29 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 12 10 0 2 39:15 30
2 Clydebank FC 10 7 2 1 34:18 23
3 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
4 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
5 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
6 Caledonian Braves 11 7 1 3 32:21 22
7 Johnstone Burgh 11 5 4 2 24:18 19
8 Celtic B 11 5 2 4 28:20 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 11 5 2 4 26:20 17
10 Troon FC 12 5 0 7 22:24 15
11 Cumbernauld Colts 11 3 4 4 25:25 13
12 Gretna 2008 12 3 2 7 27:35 11
13 Renfrew 11 3 1 7 20:30 10
14 Beith 12 2 3 7 14:30 9
15 Albion Rovers 11 2 2 7 11:23 8
16 Newton Stewart 10 1 1 8 11:42 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 11 0 1 10 6:39 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)