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Stadium Background

Bonyhad vs MTK Budapest II Prediction & H2H Stats

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Ulrich D.
48' Event
Bozoki M.
51' Event
Ulrich D.

AI Match Summary

Bonyhad in this NB III - Southwest 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bonyhad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Bonyhad
20%
Draws
44%
MTK Budapest II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: MTK Budapest II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to MTK Budapest II lately — more wins on the board than Bonyhad.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Bonyhad taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Bonyhad Clean Sheet 19%
MTK Budapest II Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonyhad MTK Budapest II
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.13 2.16
Goals Conceded 2 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Bonyhad vs MTK Budapest II
5:1
Oct 13, 2024 NB III - Southwest
MTK Budapest II vs Bonyhad
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonyhad Compare

Top Goalscorer Ulrich D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bozoki M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

MTK Budapest II Compare

Top Goalscorer Csucsanszky Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonyhad 40 / 100
MTK Budapest II 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonyhad MTK Budapest II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonyhad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

MTK Budapest II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Bonyhad went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

MTK Budapest II's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS MTK Budapest II
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonyhad

(Home)
02 Aug
Bonyhad
0 : 8
Dunaujvaros
24 May
Pecsi MFC
3 : 2
Bonyhad
18 May
Bonyhad
6 : 0
Dunafoldvar
11 May
Bonyhad
0 : 0
Szekszardi
04 May
Gardony Varosi
1 : 1
Bonyhad
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MTK Budapest II

(Away)
19 Sept
Pecsi MFC
3 : 0
MTK Budapest II
06 Sept
MTK Budapest II
4 : 2
Dunaharaszti MTK
29 Aug
Paks II
2 : 4
MTK Budapest II
15 Aug
Budaorsi SC
1 : 0
MTK Budapest II
12 Aug
Siofok
2 : 1
MTK Budapest II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 23 5 2 73:24 74
2 Ivancsa 30 21 5 4 94:26 68
3 Ferencvaros II 30 17 12 1 67:31 63
4 Kaposvar 30 18 8 4 78:33 62
5 Pecsi MFC 30 18 6 6 66:29 60
6 Siofok 30 15 10 5 56:32 55
7 Paks II 30 12 6 12 51:46 42
8 Majosi 30 11 7 12 40:45 40
9 MTK Budapest II 30 11 5 14 58:57 38
10 Dunaharaszti MTK 30 10 8 12 47:45 38
11 Bonyhad 30 10 5 15 38:55 35
12 Szekszardi 30 6 7 17 30:54 25
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 3 21 27:70 21
14 Fonix Gold 30 6 3 21 36:90 21
15 Gardony Varosi 30 5 6 19 34:71 21
16 Dunafoldvar 30 1 4 25 22:109 7
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs 2024/2025 (Main)