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Borea Dresden vs Erfurt II

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2010/2011 game between Borea Dresden and Erfurt II finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Borea Dresden
28%
Draws
22%
Erfurt II
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Borea Dresden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Erfurt II come out ahead of Borea Dresden on wins alone.
  • Model gives Borea Dresden a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Borea Dresden Clean Sheet 10%
Erfurt II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borea Dresden Erfurt II
Matches Played 5 38
Wins 1 16
Draws 2 7
Losses 2 15
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 4 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 11, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Borea Dresden vs Erfurt II
0:0
Aug 6, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt II vs Borea Dresden
2:1
Apr 10, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Borea Dresden vs Erfurt II
1:1
Oct 17, 2010 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt II vs Borea Dresden
2:1
May 15, 2010 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt II vs Borea Dresden
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borea Dresden 47 / 100
Erfurt II 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borea Dresden Erfurt II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Erfurt II conceded in 68% of 38 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Borea Dresden stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Erfurt II's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Borea Dresden VS Erfurt II
0 Goals Scored 1.75
4 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Halberstadt30226269:2272
2Auerbach30176763:3957
3Bautzen30157844:3052
4Erfurt II301212648:3948
5Dresden II301251348:4541
6Luckenwalde301181153:5541
7Aue II301251343:4741
8Lokomotive Leipzig30912942:4339
9Zwickau301071339:3937
10Sachsen Leipzig30991233:4336
11Chemnitzer II308101245:5034
12Gotha301041640:5534
13Jena II30891342:4733
14Halle30891334:4733
15Borea Dresden307111233:4732
16Magdeburg II30681637:6526