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Borea Dresden vs TB Berlin

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV - Relegation 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Borea Dresden advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Borea Dresden
35%
Draws
49%
TB Berlin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: TB Berlin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TB Berlin come out ahead of Borea Dresden on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • TB Berlin arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Borea Dresden, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Borea Dresden Clean Sheet 19%
TB Berlin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borea Dresden TB Berlin
Matches Played 3 30
Wins 0 6
Draws 1 8
Losses 2 16
Goals Scored 0.33 1.23
Goals Conceded 3 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2011 Oberliga NOFV - Relegation
TB Berlin vs Borea Dresden
1:2
Jun 5, 2011 Oberliga NOFV - Relegation
Borea Dresden vs TB Berlin
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borea Dresden 36 / 100
TB Berlin 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borea Dresden TB Berlin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TB Berlin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TB Berlin has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Borea Dresden scored in 33% of their last 3 games.

Borea Dresden has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS TB Berlin
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Borea Dresden

(Home)
06 Jul
Bischofswerdaer
4 : 0
Borea Dresden
27 Aug
Borea Dresden
1 : 1
FC Gera 03
21 Aug
Aue II
4 : 0
Borea Dresden

TB Berlin

(Away)
25 Sept
TB Berlin
0 : 1
Lichtenberg
20 Sept
Hansa Rostock II
2 : 2
TB Berlin
13 Sept
TB Berlin
1 : 0
Wismar
28 Aug
FSV Schwerin
2 : 1
TB Berlin
16 Aug
TUS Makkabi
0 : 0
TB Berlin
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Borea Dresden 3
TB Berlin 1