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Boreham Wood vs Newcastle Utd U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Cup Meadow Park, Borehamwood
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ferreira M.
Assist: Miley M.
45' Event
Ali Wahid F.
Assist: Booty R.
46'
Sub
Booty R. In: White T.
Out: Booty R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Boreham Wood
15%
Draws
24%
Newcastle Utd U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boreham Wood

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Boreham Wood lately — more wins on the board than Newcastle Utd U21.
  • Model gives Boreham Wood a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Boreham Wood have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Boreham Wood, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Boreham Wood Clean Sheet 20%
Newcastle Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boreham Wood Newcastle Utd U21
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 22 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 2 16
Goals Scored 2.85 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 National League Cup
Boreham Wood vs Newcastle Utd U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boreham Wood Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali Wahid F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brunt Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Newcastle Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boreham Wood 85 / 100
Newcastle Utd U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boreham Wood Newcastle Utd U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boreham Wood Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boreham Wood found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (27 games).

Newcastle Utd U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Boreham Wood remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Boreham Wood VS Newcastle Utd U21
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Boreham Wood

(Home)
24 Oct
Boreham Wood
4 : 0
AFC Fylde
20 Oct
Boreham Wood
7 : 1
Middlesbrough U21
17 Oct
Boreham Wood
3 : 2
Woking
09 Oct
Sutton
0 : 2
Boreham Wood
03 Oct
Boreham Wood
3 : 1
Altrincham
Page 1 of 6

Newcastle Utd U21

(Away)
13 Oct
Hartlepool
1 : 2
Newcastle Utd U21
09 Oct
Newcastle Utd U21
4 : 1
Luton U21
06 Oct
Solihull Moors
2 : 1
Newcastle Utd U21
22 Sept
Bradford City
2 : 1
Newcastle Utd U21
19 Sept
Leeds U21
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halifax 3 3 0 0 13:4 9
2 Scunthorpe 3 3 0 0 8:3 8
3 Wealdstone 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
4 Wolves U21 3 2 0 1 3:4 5
5 Derby U21 3 1 0 2 7:9 4
6 Gateshead 3 0 0 3 2:4 2
7 Nottingham U21 3 1 0 2 2:4 2
8 Stoke City U21 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Norwich U21 3 2 0 1 5:6 5
3 Ipswich U21 3 2 0 1 3:5 5
4 Hornchurch 3 1 0 2 5:3 4
5 Aldershot 3 1 0 2 7:8 4
6 Braintree 3 1 0 2 5:6 4
7 Fulham U21 3 2 0 1 4:5 4
8 Worthing FC 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 4 3 0 1 15:5 10
2 Middlesbrough U21 4 3 0 1 17:9 9
3 Tamworth 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
4 Solihull Moors 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
5 Everton U21 3 2 0 1 2:2 5
6 Newcastle Utd U21 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
7 Leeds U21 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
8 Hartlepool 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truro 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Woking 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Sutton 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
4 West Brom U21 3 2 0 1 3:3 5
5 Birmingham U21 3 2 0 1 4:6 5
6 Southampton U21 3 1 0 2 8:11 3
7 Leicester U21 3 0 0 3 3:6 2
8 Boston United 3 0 0 3 7:10 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)