Sport Picks

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Borgaro vs Bra

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Albisetti F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 game between Borgaro and Bra finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Borgaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Borgaro
15%
Draws
12%
Bra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Borgaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

12% / Low Confidence
  • Borgaro haven't matched Bra's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Borgaro Clean Sheet 20%
Bra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borgaro Bra
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 12
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.83 1.18
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Borgaro vs Bra
1:0
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Bra vs Borgaro
5:0
Mar 24, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Bra vs Borgaro
3:1
Nov 18, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Borgaro vs Bra
0:1
Feb 17, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Bra vs Borgaro
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borgaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Albisetti F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Bra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borgaro 32 / 100
Bra 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borgaro Bra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borgaro scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Bra let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Bra has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bra
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Borgaro

(Home)
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 0
Bra
17 Apr
Chisola
1 : 2
Borgaro
13 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 2
Lavagnese
06 Apr
NovaRomentin
8 : 2
Borgaro
Page 1 of 6

Bra

(Away)
16 Sept
Bra
0 : 1
AS Biellese
12 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 0
Bra
06 Sept
Bra
1 : 1
Fezzanese
16 May
Sassari Torres
2 : 1
Bra
09 May
Bra
0 : 1
Sassari Torres
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)