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Borja vs Calamocha

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Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Fonsi Nadeles
71' Event
Castro C.

AI Match Summary

Calamocha in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Calamocha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Borja
15%
Draws
85%
Calamocha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Calamocha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Calamocha have won more games recently than Borja.
  • Win probability leans Calamocha's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Calamocha here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Borja Clean Sheet 20%
Calamocha Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borja Calamocha
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 21
Draws 7 5
Losses 19 5
Goals Scored 0.4 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Borja vs Calamocha
0:2
Oct 21, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Borja
2:0
Mar 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Borja vs Calamocha
0:1
Nov 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Borja
2:1
Mar 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Borja vs Calamocha
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borja Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Calamocha Compare

Top Goalscorer Fonsi Nadeles
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castro C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borja 12 / 100
Calamocha 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borja Calamocha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calamocha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Borja's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Calamocha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 39% of 31 matches.

Difficult form: Calamocha registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Calamocha
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Borja

(Home)
12 May
Almudevar
3 : 1
Borja
05 May
Borja
1 : 2
Atletico Monzon
01 May
Fuentes
2 : 0
Borja
28 Apr
Borja
1 : 5
Utrillas
21 Apr
CF Illueca
1 : 0
Borja
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Calamocha

(Away)
20 Sept
Calamocha
3 : 2
UD Logrones B
13 Sept
Espanyol B
5 : 0
Calamocha
06 Sept
Calamocha
0 : 1
Terrassa
10 May
CD Carinena
0 : 1
Calamocha
03 May
Calamocha
2 : 0
Robres
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ejea 34 19 10 5 52:27 67
2 CD Cuarte 34 18 11 5 48:22 65
3 Ebro 34 18 9 7 48:24 63
4 Epila 34 16 11 7 49:31 59
5 CD Caspe 34 16 11 7 42:34 59
6 Almudevar 34 15 10 9 40:30 55
7 Atletico Monzon 34 14 9 11 29:23 51
8 Calamocha 34 14 7 13 39:33 49
9 Fraga 34 13 9 12 49:40 48
10 Utrillas 34 12 11 11 42:43 47
11 Huesca B 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
12 Tamarite 34 11 10 13 52:53 43
13 Binefar 34 9 11 14 36:50 38
14 Fuentes 34 7 13 14 33:47 34
15 CD Belchite 97 34 7 12 15 35:49 33
16 CF Illueca 34 5 12 17 26:54 27
17 Borja 34 5 7 22 16:44 22
18 CD Carinena 34 4 8 22 34:71 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 (Play Offs)