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Borja vs SD Ejea

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Carbonell L.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 game between Borja and SD Ejea finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SD Ejea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Borja
15%
Draws
85%
SD Ejea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SD Ejea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • SD Ejea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on SD Ejea taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Borja Clean Sheet 20%
SD Ejea Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borja SD Ejea
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.4 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Borja vs SD Ejea
0:1
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
SD Ejea vs Borja
0:1
May 13, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
SD Ejea vs Borja
1:1
Dec 23, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Borja vs SD Ejea
2:1
Apr 23, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Borja vs SD Ejea
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borja Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

SD Ejea Compare

Top Goalscorer Carbonell L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borja 12 / 100
SD Ejea 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borja SD Ejea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Ejea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Ejea let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Borja's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: SD Ejea registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS SD Ejea
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Borja

(Home)
12 May
Almudevar
3 : 1
Borja
05 May
Borja
1 : 2
Atletico Monzon
01 May
Fuentes
2 : 0
Borja
28 Apr
Borja
1 : 5
Utrillas
21 Apr
CF Illueca
1 : 0
Borja
Page 1 of 6

SD Ejea

(Away)
20 Sept
CF Illueca
0 : 2
SD Ejea
13 Sept
SD Ejea
2 : 1
CD Belchite 97
06 Sept
Almudevar
1 : 0
SD Ejea
03 May
Basconia
5 : 1
SD Ejea
26 Apr
SD Ejea
1 : 1
Eibar B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ejea 34 19 10 5 52:27 67
2 CD Cuarte 34 18 11 5 48:22 65
3 Ebro 34 18 9 7 48:24 63
4 Epila 34 16 11 7 49:31 59
5 CD Caspe 34 16 11 7 42:34 59
6 Almudevar 34 15 10 9 40:30 55
7 Atletico Monzon 34 14 9 11 29:23 51
8 Calamocha 34 14 7 13 39:33 49
9 Fraga 34 13 9 12 49:40 48
10 Utrillas 34 12 11 11 42:43 47
11 Huesca B 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
12 Tamarite 34 11 10 13 52:53 43
13 Binefar 34 9 11 14 36:50 38
14 Fuentes 34 7 13 14 33:47 34
15 CD Belchite 97 34 7 12 15 35:49 33
16 CF Illueca 34 5 12 17 26:54 27
17 Borja 34 5 7 22 16:44 22
18 CD Carinena 34 4 8 22 34:71 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 (Play Offs)