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Bornheim vs 1. FC Duren - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bornheim Logo

Bornheim

1 - 3
FT
1. FC Duren Logo

1. FC Duren

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein game between Bornheim and 1. FC Duren finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward 1. FC Duren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bornheim
15%
Draws
46%
1. FC Duren
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: 1. FC Duren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Bornheim carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bornheim are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Oberliga Mittelrhein form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and 1. FC Duren have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Bornheim Clean Sheet 10%
1. FC Duren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bornheim 1. FC Duren
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 2.29 1.55
Goals Conceded 2 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bornheim vs 1. FC Duren
1:3
May 17, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bornheim vs 1. FC Duren
4:2
Nov 16, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
1. FC Duren vs Bornheim
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bornheim 65 / 100
1. FC Duren 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bornheim 1. FC Duren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bornheim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bornheim found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 5.33 goals per match.

1. FC Duren has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Bornheim has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bornheim VS 1. FC Duren
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bornheim

(Home)
09 Oct
Bornheim
6 : 1
Neunkirchen-Seelscheid
04 Oct
Chlodwig Zulpich
5 : 1
Bornheim
27 Sept
Bornheim
4 : 3
Merten
20 Sept
SpVg Porz 1919
2 : 0
Bornheim
13 Sept
Bornheim
1 : 3
1. FC Duren
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1. FC Duren

(Away)
02 Oct
1. FC Duren
5 : 3
Konigsdorf
25 Sept
FC Wegberg-Beeck
2 : 1
1. FC Duren
20 Sept
1. FC Duren
1 : 2
Eintracht Hohkeppel
13 Sept
Bornheim
1 : 3
1. FC Duren
06 Sept
1. FC Duren
0 : 0
FC Hurth
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Wegberg-Beeck 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 6 4 1 1 18:9 13
3 Fortuna Koln II 5 4 0 1 13:7 12
4 Lindenthal-Hohenlind 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
5 Merten 6 3 1 2 19:10 10
6 Chlodwig Zulpich 6 3 1 2 16:17 10
7 FC Hurth 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
8 Bornheim 7 3 0 4 17:17 9
9 VfL Vichttal 6 2 2 2 16:11 8
10 Frechen 6 2 2 2 12:12 8
11 1. FC Duren 6 2 1 3 12:14 7
12 Hennef 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
13 SpVg Porz 1919 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
14 Siegburger 6 1 2 3 9:14 5
15 Neunkirchen-Seelscheid 7 1 1 5 8:17 4
16 Konigsdorf 5 0 0 5 6:27 0
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)