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Stadium Background

Bornova 1877 vs Aliaga

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Kavaklidere H.
15' Event
Kilic H.
25' Event
Ozek A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-6, with Aliaga advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Bornova 1877
15%
Draws
64%
Aliaga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aliaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aliaga come out ahead of Bornova 1877 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Aliaga's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Aliaga arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aliaga, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Bornova 1877 Clean Sheet 10%
Aliaga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bornova 1877 Aliaga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 1.13 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 2.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2025 Turkish Cup
Bornova 1877 vs Aliaga
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bornova 1877 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Aliaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Kavaklidere H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kilic H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.64
Avg xA / game 1.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bornova 1877 10 / 100
Aliaga 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bornova 1877 Aliaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aliaga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Bornova 1877's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Aliaga conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Bornova 1877 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bornova 1877 VS Aliaga
1.33 Goals Scored 2.63
3.17 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
83% Over 2.5 75%
83% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bornova 1877

(Home)
18 Apr
Bornova 1877
1 : 4
Balikesirspor
12 Apr
Kutahyaspor
2 : 0
Bornova 1877
05 Apr
Bornova 1877
0 : 5
Karsiyaka
29 Mar
Tire 2021 FK
2 : 4
Bornova 1877
24 Mar
Bornova 1877
2 : 3
Soke 1970
Page 1 of 6

Aliaga

(Away)
27 Sept
Aliaga
2 : 1
Sanliurfaspor
19 Sept
Elazigspor
5 : 0
Aliaga
13 Sept
Aliaga
2 : 0
Isparta 32 Spor
06 Sept
Arnavutkoy Bl.
1 : 4
Aliaga
04 May
Musspor
1 : 0
Aliaga
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Karakopru 7
Hakkari Zap 1
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 0
Bitlis 1916 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rizespor -
Duzcespor -
TBD -
TBD -
Pendikspor -
Corluspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Ayvalikgucu -
Silifke -
TBD -
K. Istklalspor 2
Kilis Bld. 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Amedspor -
Antalyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Etimesgut 0
Karadeniz Eregli 1
Bursaspor 7
Bilecik Sogut Spor Kulubu 0
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kastamonuspor -
TBD -
Yozgat 1
Fatsa Bld. 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanspor FK -
Bucaspor 1928 0
Izmir Coruhlu 2
Isparta 32 Spor 4
Kirsehir SK 0
Silivrispor -
TBD -
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 1
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Goztepe -
Dersim Spor 3
Adanaspor AS 0
Kurtalanspor 1
Sanliurfaspor 4
Kestel Cilekspor 2
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 1
Fethiyespor 2
Soke 1970 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bandirmaspor -
Musspor 8
Sirnak 0
TBD -
Mazidagi -
Menemenspor -
TBD -
Bartinspor 1
Eskisehir Anadolu 3
Konyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Elazigspor -
TBD -
12 Bingol Spor 3
Mardin 1969 0
Arnavutkoy Bl. 2
Buyukcekmece Gucu 3
TBD -
Karacabey Bld. -
Malatya 5
Yeni Malatyaspor 0
TBD -
Adana 01 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kocaelispor -
Kirklarelispor 1
Galata Spor Kulubu 2
TBD -
Beykoz Anadolu -
Balikesirspor -
TBD -
Yesil Yalova FK 2
Gemlikspor 0
Gaziantep -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ankaragucu 2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 3
Guzide Gebzespor 6
Bulvarspor 2
Kars 36 Spor 0
24Erzincanspor 1
Bulancakspor 2
Hopaspor 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Igdir FK -
TBD -
Orduspor 1967 -
TBD -
TBD -
Erbaaspor 2
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1
TBD -
Pazarspor -
Sakaryaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kucukcekmece -
TBD -
Inegolspor 2
Ezinespor 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genclerbirligi -
Istanbulspor AS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bayburt Ozel Idare 0
Giresunspor 7
TBD -
52 Orduspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sariyer -
Boluspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kahta 2
Iskenderunspor 1
TBD -
Adanademirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kasimpasa -
Erokspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Agri 1970 -
TBD -
TBD -
Batman Petrolspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
F. Karagumruk -
Eyupspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Edirnespor Genclik 0
Soma Spor 3
1926 Polatli Belediye 1
Cankaya FK 2
Amasyaspor -
TBD -
Trabzon FK 4
Serhat Ardahanspor 0
Kahramanmarasspor 1
Osmaniyespor 0
Karaman FK 2
Suvermez Kapadokyaspor 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Umraniyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Erzurumspor FK -
Corum FK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kutahyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Altinordu -
Karsiyaka -
TBD -
Bursa Yildirimspor 2
Altay 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alanyaspor -
Bucak Belediyesi 1
Kepez Bld. 2
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 2
Nazillispor 0
Sivasspor -
TBD -
Cayeli SK 1
Siran Yildizspor Kulubu 2
Bornova 1877 3
Afyonspor 0
Aliaga 2
Inegol Kafkas 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Serik Spor -
Hatayspor -
TBD -
Erciyes 38 2
Turk Metal 1963 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keciorengucu -
Kayserispor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 0
Nigde 2
TBD -
Aksaray Bld. -
Kirikkale FK -
TBD -
TBD -
Manisa FK -
Ankaraspor 1
Eskisehirspor 2
Alanya 1221 0
Muglaspor 3
1074 Cankirispor 0
Ankara Demirspor 3
TBD -
Zonguldak Komurspor -
Tire 2021 FK -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodrumspor -
Quarter-finals
Karakopru 2
Bitlis 1916 1
TBD -
Rizespor -
Duzcespor 3
Pendikspor 4
Corluspor 2
Ayvalikgucu 1
Silifke 7
K. Istklalspor 1
TBD -
Amedspor -
Antalyaspor -
TBD -
Karadeniz Eregli 1
Bursaspor 2
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kastamonuspor 3
Fatsa Bld. 4
TBD -
Vanspor FK -
Izmir Coruhlu 0
Isparta 32 Spor 3
Silivrispor 1
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Goztepe -
Dersim Spor 2
Sanliurfaspor 0
Kestel Cilekspor 0
Fethiyespor 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bandirmaspor -
Musspor 5
Mazidagi 0
Menemenspor 2
Eskisehir Anadolu 1
Konyaspor -
TBD -
Elazigspor 2
12 Bingol Spor 3
Buyukcekmece Gucu 0
Karacabey Bld. 2
Malatya 3
Adana 01 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kocaelispor -
Galata Spor Kulubu 1
Beykoz Anadolu 5
Balikesirspor 1
Yesil Yalova FK 2
Gaziantep -
TBD -
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 1
Guzide Gebzespor 0
24Erzincanspor 0
Bulancakspor 2
TBD -
Igdir FK -
Orduspor 1967 -
TBD -
Erbaaspor 2
Pazarspor 0
Sakaryaspor -
TBD -
Kucukcekmece 1
Inegolspor 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genclerbirligi -
Istanbulspor AS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Giresunspor 1
52 Orduspor 2
TBD -
Sariyer -
Boluspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kahta 2
Adanademirspor 1
TBD -
Kasimpasa -
Erokspor -
TBD -
Agri 1970 4
Batman Petrolspor 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
F. Karagumruk -
Eyupspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Soma Spor 1
Cankaya FK 3
Amasyaspor 0
Trabzon FK 1
Kahramanmarasspor 1
Karaman FK 0
TBD -
Umraniyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Erzurumspor FK -
Corum FK -
TBD -
Kutahyaspor 3
Altinordu 1
Karsiyaka 0
Bursa Yildirimspor 1
TBD -
Alanyaspor -
Kepez Bld. 1
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 0
Sivasspor 2
Siran Yildizspor Kulubu 1
Bornova 1877 0
Aliaga 6
TBD -
Serik Spor -
Hatayspor 2
Erciyes 38 3
TBD -
Keciorengucu -
Kayserispor -
TBD -
Nigde 3
Aksaray Bld. 1
Kirikkale FK 0
Manisa FK 2
Eskisehirspor 0
Muglaspor 3
Ankara Demirspor 2
Zonguldak Komurspor 3
Tire 2021 FK 0
Bodrumspor 1
Semi-finals
Karakopru 0
Rizespor 3
Pendikspor 3
Corluspor 2
Silifke 3
Amedspor 0
Antalyaspor 3
Bursaspor 0
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
Fatsa Bld. 3
Vanspor FK 4
Isparta 32 Spor 0
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2
TBD -
Goztepe -
Dersim Spor 0
Fethiyespor 3
TBD -
Bandirmaspor -
Musspor 1
Menemenspor 0
Konyaspor 4
12 Bingol Spor 2
Karacabey Bld. 3
Malatya 1
TBD -
Kocaelispor -
Beykoz Anadolu 1
Yesil Yalova FK 3
Gaziantep 2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 0
Bulancakspor 1
Igdir FK 3
Orduspor 1967 4
Erbaaspor 2
Sakaryaspor 4
Inegolspor 0
TBD -
Genclerbirligi -
Istanbulspor AS -
TBD -
52 Orduspor 0
Sariyer 2
Boluspor -
TBD -
Kahta 3
Kasimpasa 1
Erokspor 3
Agri 1970 0
TBD -
F. Karagumruk -
Eyupspor -
TBD -
Cankaya FK 2
Trabzon FK 0
Kahramanmarasspor 4
Umraniyespor 0
TBD -
Erzurumspor FK -
Corum FK 3
Kutahyaspor 0
Bursa Yildirimspor 1
Alanyaspor 2
Kepez Bld. 1
Sivasspor 3
Aliaga 4
Serik Spor 3
Erciyes 38 2
Keciorengucu 5
Kayserispor 1
Nigde 0
Manisa FK 0
Muglaspor 2
Zonguldak Komurspor 0
Bodrumspor 5
Final
Rizespor 6
Pendikspor 1
Silifke 0
Antalyaspor 1
Trabzonspor 2
Vanspor FK 0
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 1
Goztepe 0
Fethiyespor 4
Bandirmaspor 1
Musspor 1
Konyaspor 4
Karacabey Bld. 1
Kocaelispor 2
Yesil Yalova FK 0
Gaziantep 2
Igdir FK 3
Orduspor 1967 2
Sakaryaspor 0
Genclerbirligi 5
Istanbulspor AS 6
Sariyer 0
Boluspor 2
Kahta 1
Erokspor 2
F. Karagumruk 5
Eyupspor 6
Cankaya FK 1
Kahramanmarasspor 1
Erzurumspor FK 3
Corum FK 0
Alanyaspor 5
Sivasspor 1
Aliaga 3
Keciorengucu 2
Kayserispor 0
Muglaspor 1
Bodrumspor 2