Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 vs Bulgaria U21

World World

Friendly International 2024 Stadion Grbavica, Sarajevo
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Georgiev M.
16' Event
Sikalo T.
Assist: Hamzic M.
39'
Bachev M. S.

AI Match Summary

Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bosnia & Herzegovina U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
33%
Draws
27%
Bulgaria U21
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Bosnia & Herzegovina U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Bulgaria U21 have won more games recently than Bosnia & Herzegovina U21.
  • Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Bulgaria U21 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 Bulgaria U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2024 Friendly International
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 vs Bulgaria U21
1:0
Nov 25, 2022 Friendly International
Bulgaria U21 vs Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sikalo T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Bulgaria U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 50 / 100
Bulgaria U21 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 Bulgaria U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bulgaria U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 VS Bulgaria U21
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bosnia & Herzegovina U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Israel U21
0 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
27 Mar
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
0 : 0
Slovenia U21
18 Nov
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
0 : 1
Norway U21
14 Oct
Slovenia U21
0 : 2
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
10 Oct
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
0 : 0
Netherlands U21
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Bulgaria U21

(Away)
30 May
Bulgaria U21
1 : 0
North Macedonia U21
31 Mar
Bulgaria U21
0 : 0
Azerbaijan U21
27 Mar
Gibraltar U21
0 : 1
Bulgaria U21
18 Nov
Scotland U21
1 : 0
Bulgaria U21
14 Oct
Bulgaria U21
2 : 1
Czech Republic U21
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