Sport Picks
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
UEFA Nations League Bilino Polje, Zenica 
Match Events
17'
17'
Gyokeres V.
31'
31'
Sub
Starfelt C. In: Smith E.
Out: Starfelt C.
45'
45'
Dzeko E.
AI Match Summary
The UEFA Nations League game between Bosnia & Herzegovina and Sweden finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sweden
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Sweden carry the better recent record into this one.
- Bosnia & Herzegovina are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Bosnia & Herzegovina Clean Sheet 14%
Sweden Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bosnia & Herzegovina | Sweden |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 11 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.85 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 2, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden
1:1
May 29, 2010 Friendly International
Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bosnia & Herzegovina Compare
Top Goalscorer Alajbegovic K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Sweden Compare
Top Goalscorer Gyokeres V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bosnia & Herzegovina 39 / 100
Sweden 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bosnia & Herzegovina Sweden
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bosnia & Herzegovina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sweden has conceded goals in 82% of their last 33 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Bosnia & Herzegovina scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Recent resilience: Bosnia & Herzegovina stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bosnia & Herzegovina VS Sweden
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Bosnia & Herzegovina
(Home) 05 Oct
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1 : 0 Poland
02 Oct
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1 : 1 Sweden
28 Sept
Romania
2 : 4 Bosnia & Herzegovina
25 Sept
Poland
0 : 0 Bosnia & Herzegovina
02 Jul
USA
2 : 0 Bosnia & Herzegovina
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1 : 0 Poland
02 Oct
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1 : 1 Sweden
24 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 : 1 Qatar
29 May
Bosnia & Herzegovina
0 : 0 North Macedonia
31 Mar
Bosnia & Herzegovina
2 : 1 Italy
Page 1 of 3
Sweden
(Away) 05 Oct
Romania
0 : 1 Sweden
02 Oct
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1 : 1 Sweden
28 Sept
Sweden
3 : 1 Poland
25 Sept
Sweden
2 : 1 Romania
30 Jun
France
3 : 0 Sweden
Page 1 of 7
05 Oct
Romania
0 : 1 Sweden
02 Oct
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1 : 1 Sweden
30 Jun
France
3 : 0 Sweden
25 Jun
Japan
1 : 1 Sweden
20 Jun
Netherlands
5 : 1 Sweden
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Slovenia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2 | Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | 2 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 3 | Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 5 |
| 4 | Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | 2 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
