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Boston Bolts vs Albany Rush

USA USA

USL League Two
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Boston Bolts play Albany Rush in the USL League Two. It looks like a close match. Recently, Boston Bolts averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. Albany Rush averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2.96 conceded. In past meetings, Boston Bolts won 3, Albany Rush won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 28, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Boston Bolts and 2.25 for Albany Rush. This points to a Boston Bolts double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Boston Bolts
19%
Draws
36%
Albany Rush
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Boston Bolts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Boston Bolts picked up more points recently compared to Albany Rush.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 2.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Boston Bolts Clean Sheet 10%
Albany Rush Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boston Bolts Albany Rush
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 6 8
Draws 8 2
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.19 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.74 2.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 USL League Two
Albany Rush vs Boston Bolts
1:0
Jun 14, 2025 USL League Two
Boston Bolts vs Albany Rush
2:2
Jun 22, 2024 USL League Two
Albany Rush vs Boston Bolts
0:1
Jun 5, 2024 USL League Two
Boston Bolts vs Albany Rush
2:1
Jun 10, 2023 USL League Two
Boston Bolts vs Albany Rush
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boston Bolts 43 / 100
Albany Rush 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boston Bolts Albany Rush

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Boston Bolts or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Boston Bolts attacking → ← attacking Albany Rush

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boston Bolts scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Albany Rush let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Boston Bolts went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Albany Rush lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 26
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88