Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Boston Legacy W vs Bay FC W

USA USA

NWSL Women Centreville Bank Stadium, Pawtucket, RI
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Murphy C.
5' Event
Hutton C.
(Penalty)
8'
Carabali J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Boston Legacy W
30%
Draws
34%
Bay FC W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Boston Legacy W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Boston Legacy W have won more games recently than Bay FC W.
  • Boston Legacy W are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Boston Legacy W Clean Sheet 20%
Bay FC W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boston Legacy W Bay FC W
Matches Played 20 28
Wins 8 6
Draws 4 7
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 NWSL Women
Boston Legacy W vs Bay FC W
2:2
May 16, 2026 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Boston Legacy W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boston Legacy W Compare

Top Goalscorer Amanda Gutierres
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bay FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lema K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boston Legacy W 36 / 100
Bay FC W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boston Legacy W Bay FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bay FC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Boston Legacy W scored in 75% of their last 20 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Boston Legacy W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boston Legacy W VS Bay FC W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Boston Legacy W

(Home)
25 Jul
Boston Legacy W
1 : 0
Kansas City Current W
19 Jul
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2
Washington Spirit W
15 Jul
Orlando Pride W
0 : 1
Boston Legacy W
11 Jul
Boston Legacy W
2 : 0
Chicago Stars W
05 Jul
Boston Legacy W
2 : 2
Bay FC W
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Bay FC W

(Away)
25 Jul
Houston Dash W
1 : 0
Bay FC W
18 Jul
Bay FC W
3 : 0
North Carolina Courage W
11 Jul
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2
Bay FC W
05 Jul
Boston Legacy W
2 : 2
Bay FC W
29 May
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1
Bay FC W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Washington Spirit W16103325:1233
2Gotham FC W1694321:1231
3Utah Royals W1693426:1730
4San Diego Wave W1792623:1929
5Portland Thorns FC W1784527:2028
6Kansas City Current W1681723:2325
7Orlando Pride W1772822:2123
8Angel City W1571723:1622
9North Carolina Courage W1563621:2321
10Seattle Reign W1562717:1920
11Denver Summit W1554621:2019
12Houston Dash W1654719:2419
13Boston Legacy W1754818:2319
14Bay FC W1553716:2018
15Chicago Stars W1640128:3112
16Racing Louisville W15321018:2811
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)