Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Boston River vs CA Cerro

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Parque Artigas, Las Piedras
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Munoa F.
28' Event
Ocampo M.
33' Event
Munoa F.

AI Match Summary

Boston River in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boston River.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Boston River
15%
Draws
42%
CA Cerro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boston River

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • CA Cerro haven't matched Boston River's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Boston River Clean Sheet 68%
CA Cerro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boston River CA Cerro
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.17 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Boston River vs CA Cerro
1:1
May 16, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Boston River vs CA Cerro
4:1
Feb 27, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
CA Cerro vs Boston River
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
CA Cerro vs Boston River
0:0
May 19, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Boston River vs CA Cerro
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boston River Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoa F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suhr L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

CA Cerro Compare

Top Goalscorer Ocampo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boston River 41 / 100
CA Cerro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boston River CA Cerro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boston River Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Boston River scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

CA Cerro let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Away concern: CA Cerro has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Boston River VS CA Cerro
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Boston River

(Home)
23 Sept
Boston River
3 : 2
Fenix
19 Sept
Boston River
1 : 2
Progreso
12 Sept
Racing Montevideo
3 : 2
Boston River
09 Sept
Boston River
2 : 0
Colon
06 Sept
Liverpool M.
1 : 0
Boston River
Page 1 of 6

CA Cerro

(Away)
23 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 2
Maldonado
19 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 2
Penarol
13 Sept
Progreso
1 : 3
CA Cerro
10 Sept
CA Cerro
0 : 2
Cerrito
06 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 0
Racing Montevideo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 7 5 1 1 12:3 16
2 Cerro Largo 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
3 Racing Montevideo 7 2 4 1 4:3 10
4 Liverpool M. 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
5 Central Esp. 7 2 3 2 4:4 9
6 CA Cerro 7 3 0 4 6:10 9
7 Defensor Sp. 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
8 Boston River 7 1 2 4 5:10 5
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wanderers 7 4 3 0 12:4 15
2 Club Nacional 7 4 1 2 8:8 13
3 Maldonado 7 3 3 1 12:6 12
4 Montevideo City 7 4 0 3 11:11 12
5 Juventud 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
6 Albion 7 1 3 3 6:8 6
7 Progreso 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
8 Danubio 7 0 4 3 5:9 4
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)