Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Boston River vs CA Cerro

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Parque Artigas, Las Piedras
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Munoa F.
28' Event
Ocampo M.
33' Event
Munoa F.

AI Match Summary

Boston River in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boston River.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Boston River
33%
Draws
40%
CA Cerro
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: CA Cerro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • CA Cerro haven't matched Boston River's recent run of results.
  • Model gives CA Cerro a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Boston River Clean Sheet 18%
CA Cerro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boston River CA Cerro
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Boston River vs CA Cerro
4:1
Feb 27, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
CA Cerro vs Boston River
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
CA Cerro vs Boston River
0:0
May 19, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Boston River vs CA Cerro
0:0
Nov 18, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
CA Cerro vs Boston River
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boston River Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoa F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suhr L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

CA Cerro Compare

Top Goalscorer Ocampo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boston River 28 / 100
CA Cerro 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boston River CA Cerro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Cerro has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

CA Cerro lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Boston River's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Boston River VS CA Cerro
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Boston River

(Home)
12 Jul
Boston River
0 : 0
Central Esp.
07 Jun
Defensor Sp.
1 : 1
Boston River
01 Jun
Boston River
0 : 1
Liverpool M.
26 May
Sao Paulo
2 : 0
Boston River
23 May
Cerro Largo
3 : 0
Boston River
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CA Cerro

(Away)
12 Jul
Liverpool M.
1 : 2
CA Cerro
07 Jun
CA Cerro
0 : 1
Penarol
29 May
Cerro Largo
2 : 0
CA Cerro
24 May
CA Cerro
1 : 0
Central Esp.
16 May
Boston River
4 : 1
CA Cerro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol53116:310
2Cerro Largo52216:28
3Central Esp.52214:38
4Racing Montevideo51403:27
5CA Cerro52034:86
6Boston River51225:65
7Liverpool M.51223:45
8Defensor Sp.50323:63
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wanderers633010:412
2Maldonado532012:511
3Club Nacional63126:710
4Montevideo City530210:99
5Juventud62138:117
6Albion61234:65
7Danubio50323:63
8Progreso51044:93
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)