Sport Picks
Boston River vs Cerro Largo
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Parque Artigas, Las Piedras 
Match Events
6'
6'
Vazquez L.
11'
11'
Pandiani A.
17'
17'
Sub
Vazquez L. In: Acosta J.
Out: Vazquez L.
AI Match Summary
Boston River in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boston River.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Boston River
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Boston River have won more games recently than Cerro Largo.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Boston River taking it.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Boston River Clean Sheet 68%
Cerro Largo Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Boston River | Cerro Largo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs Boston River
3:0
Apr 20, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Boston River vs Cerro Largo
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs Boston River
2:2
Apr 13, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Boston River vs Cerro Largo
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Boston River vs Cerro Largo
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Boston River Compare
Top Goalscorer Bonfiglio F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Cerro Largo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Boston River 68 / 100
Cerro Largo 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Boston River Cerro Largo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Boston River Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Boston River scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Cerro Largo has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Boston River went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Boston River VS Cerro Largo
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Boston River
(Home) 19 Sept
Boston River
1 : 2 Progreso
12 Sept
Racing Montevideo
3 : 2 Boston River
09 Sept
Boston River
2 : 0 Colon
06 Sept
Liverpool M.
1 : 0 Boston River
02 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 1 Boston River
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Boston River
1 : 2 Progreso
09 Sept
Boston River
2 : 0 Colon
29 Aug
Boston River
1 : 1 CA Cerro
14 Aug
Boston River
0 : 0 Danubio
12 Jul
Boston River
0 : 0 Central Esp.
Page 1 of 3
Cerro Largo
(Away) 19 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0 Cerro Largo
12 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 0 Central Esp.
09 Sept
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Defensor Sp.
04 Sept
Montevideo City
2 : 1 Cerro Largo
30 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Liverpool M.
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0 Cerro Largo
04 Sept
Montevideo City
2 : 1 Cerro Largo
26 Aug
Plaza Colonia
2 : 1 Cerro Largo
15 Aug
Wanderers
1 : 1 Cerro Largo
01 Aug
Penarol
3 : 0 Cerro Largo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Esp. | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 24 |
| 6 | Montevideo City | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp. | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool M. | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | 10 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | 10 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)
