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Boston United vs Aldershot - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Jakemans Community Stadium, Boston
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Odusanya D.
41'
Rooney J.
59' Event
Gilbert J.
Assist: Dinanga M.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Boston United and Aldershot finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aldershot.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Boston United
30%
Draws
31%
Aldershot
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Boston United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Aldershot carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aldershot are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Boston United Clean Sheet 13%
Aldershot Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boston United Aldershot
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 National League
Boston United vs Aldershot
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 National League
Boston United vs Aldershot
0:2
Aug 16, 2025 National League
Aldershot vs Boston United
2:3
Apr 8, 2025 National League
Aldershot vs Boston United
1:2
Sep 14, 2024 National League
Boston United vs Aldershot
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boston United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Aldershot Compare

Top Goalscorer Gilbert J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boston United 27 / 100
Aldershot 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boston United Aldershot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aldershot Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boston United found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Aldershot has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Boston United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boston United VS Aldershot
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Boston United

(Home)
03 Oct
Yeovil
6 : 0
Boston United
29 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1
Boston United
26 Sept
Boston United
0 : 1
AFC Fylde
19 Sept
Forest Green
1 : 3
Boston United
15 Sept
Boston United
1 : 1
Woking
Page 1 of 6

Aldershot

(Away)
03 Oct
Aldershot
1 : 3
Carlisle
29 Sept
Hornchurch
2 : 1
Aldershot
26 Sept
Aldershot
5 : 1
Tamworth
19 Sept
Barrow
1 : 0
Aldershot
15 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 1
Yeovil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 12 10 2 0 32:13 32
2 Harrogate 12 8 1 3 28:17 25
3 Southend 12 7 3 2 29:18 24
4 Yeovil 12 6 4 2 26:15 22
5 Worthing FC 12 6 3 3 22:18 21
6 Altrincham 12 7 0 5 17:18 21
7 AFC Fylde 12 6 2 4 22:18 20
8 Kidderminster 12 5 4 3 15:12 19
9 Barrow 12 5 3 4 20:15 18
10 Aldershot 12 5 3 4 17:13 18
11 Sutton 12 5 3 4 14:16 18
12 Hornchurch 12 6 0 6 13:19 18
13 Halifax 12 5 2 5 18:14 17
14 Carlisle 12 4 4 4 23:20 16
15 Woking 12 4 3 5 20:19 15
16 Forest Green 11 4 3 4 17:18 15
17 Eastleigh 12 4 3 5 14:18 15
18 Tamworth 12 4 2 6 20:28 14
19 Wealdstone 12 3 3 6 17:18 12
20 Boston United 12 3 3 6 14:21 12
21 Scunthorpe 11 3 1 7 15:19 10
22 Hartlepool 12 3 0 9 8:17 9
23 Solihull Moors 12 2 1 9 13:30 7
24 Gateshead 12 1 1 10 7:27 4
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