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Boston United vs Southampton U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Cup Jakemans Community Stadium, Boston
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Bostock O.
Assist: Sachdev S.
7' Event
Canavan N.
Assist: Hammond B.
15' Event
Ehibhatiomhan P.
Assist: Akachukwu R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-6. The second leg ended 5-6.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Boston United
15%
Draws
78%
Southampton U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Southampton U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Southampton U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Southampton U21 a 78% chance of winning this.
  • Southampton U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Southampton U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Boston United Clean Sheet 10%
Southampton U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boston United Southampton U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2026 National League Cup
Boston United vs Southampton U21
5:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boston United Compare

Top Goalscorer Canavan N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bostock O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Southampton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ehibhatiomhan P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sillah Dibaga S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boston United 10 / 100
Southampton U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boston United Southampton U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southampton U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southampton U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 11.00 goals when they meet.

Boston United found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Boston United has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Boston United VS Southampton U21
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Boston United

(Home)
13 Oct
Boston United
5 : 6
Southampton U21
10 Oct
Boston United
1 : 2
Southend
03 Oct
Yeovil
6 : 0
Boston United
29 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1
Boston United
26 Sept
Boston United
0 : 1
AFC Fylde
Page 1 of 6

Southampton U21

(Away)
13 Oct
Boston United
5 : 6
Southampton U21
09 Oct
Southampton U21
5 : 1
QPR U21
18 Sept
Wolves U21
0 : 2
Southampton U21
12 Sept
Southampton U21
3 : 1
Bournemouth U21
08 Sept
Woking
4 : 1
Southampton U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halifax 3 3 0 0 13:4 9
2 Scunthorpe 3 3 0 0 8:3 8
3 Wolves U21 3 2 0 1 3:4 5
4 Derby U21 3 1 0 2 7:9 4
5 Wealdstone 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
6 Nottingham U21 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
7 Gateshead 3 0 0 3 2:4 2
8 Stoke City U21 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Norwich U21 3 2 0 1 5:6 5
3 Ipswich U21 3 2 0 1 3:5 5
4 Hornchurch 3 1 0 2 5:3 4
5 Aldershot 3 1 0 2 7:8 4
6 Braintree 3 1 0 2 5:6 4
7 Fulham U21 3 2 0 1 4:5 4
8 Worthing FC 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 3 3 0 0 16:2 9
2 Boreham Wood 3 2 0 1 8:4 7
3 Tamworth 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
4 Solihull Moors 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
5 Everton U21 3 2 0 1 2:2 5
6 Newcastle Utd U21 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
7 Leeds U21 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
8 Hartlepool 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truro 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Woking 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Sutton 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
4 West Brom U21 3 2 0 1 3:3 5
5 Birmingham U21 3 2 0 1 4:6 5
6 Southampton U21 3 1 0 2 8:11 3
7 Leicester U21 3 0 0 3 3:6 2
8 Boston United 3 0 0 3 7:10 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)