Sport Picks

Brazil

Baiano 2 2015

Alagoinhas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Botafogo BA play Alagoinhas in the Baiano 2 2015. Botafogo BA are favorites here. Recently, Botafogo BA averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Alagoinhas averaged 0.53 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Botafogo BA won 1, Alagoinhas won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 17, 2015 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Botafogo BA and 0.86 for Alagoinhas. This points to a Botafogo BA double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%

Botafogo BA

21%

Draws

21%

Alagoinhas

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Botafogo BA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence

Botafogo BA picked up more points recently compared to Alagoinhas.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 0.86 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Botafogo BA Clean Sheet 25%

Alagoinhas Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Botafogo BA	Alagoinhas
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	3
Draws	6	8
Losses	12	19
Goals Scored	1.27	0.53
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2015 Baiano 2

Botafogo BA vs Alagoinhas

Possession: 52% - 51% Cards: 3 - 0

2:0

Feb 28, 2013 Baiano

Alagoinhas vs Botafogo BA

Possession: 53% - 56% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo BA 57 / 100

Alagoinhas 21 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Botafogo BA Alagoinhas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo BA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Botafogo BA & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16%

2.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Botafogo BA attacking → ← attacking Alagoinhas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo BA scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Alagoinhas let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Botafogo BA went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Alagoinhas lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 17

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Fluminense de Feira	8	5	1	2	15:10	16
2	CE Flamengo	8	4	3	1	13:6	15
3	Juazeiro	8	4	2	2	13:13	14
4	Itabuna	8	3	3	2	13:10	12
5	EC Ypiranga	8	3	3	2	10:7	12
6	Grapiuna	8	3	1	4	11:9	10
7	Botafogo BA	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
8	Alagoinhas	8	1	3	4	5:10	6
9	Jequie	8	1	2	5	10:21	5