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Botafogo BA vs EC Ypiranga

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EC Ypiranga in this Baiano 2 2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored EC Ypiranga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Botafogo BA
30%
Draws
33%
EC Ypiranga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Botafogo BA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: EC Ypiranga at 1.48 per game, Botafogo BA at 1.46.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Botafogo BA Clean Sheet 19%
EC Ypiranga Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo BA EC Ypiranga
Matches Played 35 40
Wins 15 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.46 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2015 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Botafogo BA
1:1
May 26, 2012 Baiano 2
Botafogo BA vs EC Ypiranga
1:4
Apr 28, 2012 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Botafogo BA
0:1
May 28, 2011 Baiano 2
Botafogo BA vs EC Ypiranga
1:3
Apr 10, 2011 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Botafogo BA
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo BA 31 / 100
EC Ypiranga 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo BA EC Ypiranga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo BA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo BA found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (35 games).

EC Ypiranga has conceded goals in 70% of their last 40 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Botafogo BA has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo BA VS EC Ypiranga
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo BA

(Home)
10 Jul
Botafogo BA
1 : 1
CE Flamengo
03 Jul
Jacobina
1 : 0
Botafogo BA
29 Jun
Botafogo BA
2 : 1
Juazeiro
26 Jun
Feirense
2 : 2
Botafogo BA
19 Jun
Botafogo BA
1 : 0
Galicia
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EC Ypiranga

(Away)
29 Jun
Bahia de Feira
2 : 0
EC Ypiranga
21 Jun
EC Ypiranga
3 : 0
Teixeira de Freitas
14 Jun
Fluminense de Feira
2 : 1
EC Ypiranga
08 Jun
EC Ypiranga
2 : 1
Leonico
01 Jun
Itabuna
2 : 2
EC Ypiranga
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Ypiranga 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
2 Botafogo BA 8 4 3 1 15:7 15
3 Galicia 8 3 4 1 15:9 13
4 Ipitanga 8 1 1 6 10:24 4
5 Cruzeiro Cruz das Almas 8 0 3 5 4:16 3
Promotion - Baiano 2 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 8 6 2 0 11:4 20
2 Jacuipense 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
3 AD Astro 8 3 3 2 7:4 12
4 Jequie 8 2 2 4 7:14 8
5 Guanambi AC 8 0 0 8 0:8 0
Promotion - Baiano 2 2012 (Play Offs)