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Botafogo BA vs EC Ypiranga

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botafogo BA play EC Ypiranga in the Baiano 2 2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Botafogo BA averaged 1 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. EC Ypiranga averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Botafogo BA won 1, EC Ypiranga won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 2, 2015 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Botafogo BA and 1.25 for EC Ypiranga. This points to a Botafogo BA double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Botafogo BA
39%
Draws
31%
EC Ypiranga
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Botafogo BA has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to EC Ypiranga.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Baiano 2 2012 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Botafogo BA Clean Sheet 19%
EC Ypiranga Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo BA EC Ypiranga
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2015 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Botafogo BA
1:1
May 26, 2012 Baiano 2
Botafogo BA vs EC Ypiranga
1:4
Apr 28, 2012 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Botafogo BA
0:1
May 28, 2011 Baiano 2
Botafogo BA vs EC Ypiranga
1:3
Apr 10, 2011 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Botafogo BA
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo BA 31 / 100
EC Ypiranga 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo BA EC Ypiranga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo BA scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

EC Ypiranga let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Botafogo BA went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

EC Ypiranga lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo BA VS EC Ypiranga
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1EC Ypiranga861119:719
2Botafogo BA843115:715
3Galicia834115:913
4Ipitanga811610:244
5Cruzeiro Cruz das Almas80354:163
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo862011:420
2Jacuipense843110:515
3AD Astro83327:412
4Jequie82247:148
5Guanambi AC80080:80