Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botafogo BA vs Grapiuna

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2021 game between Botafogo BA and Grapiuna finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grapiuna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Botafogo BA
30%
Draws
33%
Grapiuna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Botafogo BA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Botafogo BA come out ahead of Grapiuna on wins alone.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Botafogo BA taking it.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Botafogo BA Clean Sheet 20%
Grapiuna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo BA Grapiuna
Matches Played 32 41
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.28 0.98
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.95
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2022 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs Botafogo BA
1:2
Jul 24, 2021 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs Botafogo BA
0:1
Jul 4, 2021 Baiano 2
Botafogo BA vs Grapiuna
0:1
May 24, 2015 Baiano 2
Botafogo BA vs Grapiuna
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo BA 85 / 100
Grapiuna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo BA Grapiuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo BA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo BA scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Grapiuna let in goals in 76% of their last 41 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Botafogo BA went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Grapiuna
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo BA

(Home)
10 Jul
Botafogo BA
1 : 1
CE Flamengo
03 Jul
Jacobina
1 : 0
Botafogo BA
29 Jun
Botafogo BA
2 : 1
Juazeiro
26 Jun
Feirense
2 : 2
Botafogo BA
19 Jun
Botafogo BA
1 : 0
Galicia
Page 1 of 7

Grapiuna

(Away)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
20 Jun
Camacari
1 : 3
Grapiuna
14 Jun
Grapiuna
0 : 7
Feira FC
07 Jun
Redencao
2 : 2
Grapiuna
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 5 4 0 1 12:2 12
2 Grapiuna 5 3 1 1 9:5 10
3 Botafogo BA 5 3 0 2 12:7 9
4 Barcelona FC 5 3 0 2 10:10 9
5 Camacariense 5 1 1 3 9:11 4
6 Camacari 5 0 0 5 4:21 0
Promotion - Baiano 2 2021 (Play Offs)