Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botafogo DF U20 vs Ceilandense U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botafogo DF U20 in this Brasiliense U20 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Botafogo DF U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Botafogo DF U20
35%
Draws
28%
Ceilandense U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Botafogo DF U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Botafogo DF U20 have won more games recently than Ceilandense U20.
  • Botafogo DF U20 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Botafogo DF U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Ceilandense U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo DF U20 Ceilandense U20
Matches Played 16 32
Wins 6 2
Draws 1 5
Losses 9 25
Goals Scored 1.56 0.91
Goals Conceded 2.19 3.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.92 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Brasiliense U20
Botafogo DF U20 vs Ceilandense U20
2:1
Jun 17, 2023 Brasiliense U20
Botafogo DF U20 vs Ceilandense U20
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo DF U20 67 / 100
Ceilandense U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo DF U20 Ceilandense U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo DF U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo DF U20's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Ceilandense U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Solid form: Botafogo DF U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ceilandense U20
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 4.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo DF U20

(Home)
15 Jun
Botafogo DF U20
2 : 4
Real Brasilia U20
08 Jun
Paranoa U20
1 : 0
Botafogo DF U20
05 Jun
Botafogo DF U20
1 : 1
Candango U20
01 Jun
Capital DF U20
5 : 1
Botafogo DF U20
22 May
Samambaense U20
0 : 1
Botafogo DF U20
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Ceilandense U20

(Away)
26 Jul
Ceilandense U20
0 : 8
Real Brasilia U20
18 Jul
Ceilandia U20
1 : 1
Ceilandense U20
12 Jul
Santa Maria U20
3 : 1
Ceilandense U20
04 Jul
Ceilandense U20
2 : 2
Brasilia U20
21 Jun
Ceilandense U20
0 : 0
Luziania U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense U20 8 6 2 0 25:4 20
2 Canaa U20 8 6 2 0 20:6 20
3 Luziania U20 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
4 ARUC U20 8 4 0 4 14:11 12
5 Gremio Valparaiso U20 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
6 Botafogo DF U20 8 3 0 5 15:22 9
7 Samambaia U20 8 1 2 5 6:13 5
8 Brasilia U20 8 1 2 5 5:20 5
9 Ceilandense U20 8 0 1 7 6:24 1
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Capital DF U20 8 5 2 1 12:7 17
2 Gama U20 8 4 2 2 14:4 14
3 Santa Maria U20 8 4 2 2 15:9 14
4 Brazlandia U20 8 4 2 2 10:7 14
5 Paranoa U20 8 3 3 2 12:6 12
6 Real Brasilia U20 8 2 5 1 15:6 11
7 Planaltina U20 8 2 4 2 16:12 10
8 Legiao U20 8 2 0 6 8:18 6
9 Samambaense U20 8 0 0 8 4:37 0
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2023 (Play Offs)