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Botafogo DF vs Candango

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2011
Botafogo DF Logo

Botafogo DF

3 - 1
FT
Candango Logo

Candango

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Brasiliense 2011 game between Botafogo DF and Candango finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botafogo DF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Botafogo DF
15%
Draws
85%
Candango
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Candango

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Botafogo DF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Candango's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Brasiliense 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Botafogo DF Clean Sheet 10%
Candango Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo DF Candango
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 7 2
Draws 6 4
Losses 19 23
Goals Scored 1.25 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.63 3.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2011 Brasiliense
Botafogo DF vs Candango
3:1
Feb 5, 2011 Brasiliense
Candango vs Botafogo DF
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo DF 10 / 100
Candango 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo DF Candango

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Candango Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Candango let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

Botafogo DF's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Candango has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo DF VS Candango
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
4.38 Goals Conceded 4.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo DF

(Home)
02 Oct
Luziania
7 : 0
Botafogo DF
29 Sept
Riacho City
3 : 2
Botafogo DF
23 Sept
Botafogo DF
0 : 1
Gremio Valparaiso
19 Sept
Taguatinga
4 : 0
Botafogo DF
14 Sept
Botafogo DF
1 : 9
Sobradinho
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Candango

(Away)
19 Sept
Candango
0 : 2
Legiao
13 Sept
Planaltina
2 : 0
Candango
06 Sept
Gremio Valparaiso
1 : 1
Candango
29 Aug
Candango
0 : 4
Taguatinga
11 Oct
Brasilia FC (DF)
6 : 0
Candango
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 14 10 4 0 27:8 34
2 Bosque Formosa 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
3 Botafogo DF 14 5 7 2 21:16 22
4 Gama 14 5 6 3 22:15 21
5 Ceilandia 14 5 6 3 19:16 21
6 Ceilandense 14 4 3 7 13:20 15
7 Brasilia FC (DF) 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
8 Candango 14 1 1 12 17:40 4
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2011 (Second stage)