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Botafogo DF vs SESP Brasilia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2 2024
Botafogo DF Logo

Botafogo DF

0 - 2
FT
SESP Brasilia Logo

SESP Brasilia

Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Filho E.
58' Event
Lima J.
70'
Moura L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense 2 2024 game between Botafogo DF and SESP Brasilia finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SESP Brasilia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Botafogo DF
20%
Draws
80%
SESP Brasilia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SESP Brasilia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Botafogo DF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans SESP Brasilia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Botafogo DF Clean Sheet 10%
SESP Brasilia Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo DF SESP Brasilia
Matches Played 30 9
Wins 6 4
Draws 5 2
Losses 19 3
Goals Scored 1.2 1.22
Goals Conceded 2.73 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2024 Brasiliense 2
Botafogo DF vs SESP Brasilia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo DF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

SESP Brasilia Compare

Top Goalscorer Filho E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lima J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo DF 10 / 100
SESP Brasilia 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo DF SESP Brasilia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SESP Brasilia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo DF's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: SESP Brasilia conceded in 44% of 9 recent games.

Difficult form: SESP Brasilia registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo DF VS SESP Brasilia
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
3.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo DF

(Home)
02 Oct
Luziania
7 : 0
Botafogo DF
29 Sept
Riacho City
3 : 2
Botafogo DF
23 Sept
Botafogo DF
0 : 1
Gremio Valparaiso
19 Sept
Taguatinga
4 : 0
Botafogo DF
14 Sept
Botafogo DF
1 : 9
Sobradinho
Page 1 of 6

SESP Brasilia

(Away)
20 Oct
Sobradinho
3 : 0
SESP Brasilia
12 Oct
SESP Brasilia
1 : 2
Sobradinho
05 Oct
Sobradinho
1 : 1
SESP Brasilia
28 Sept
Legiao
0 : 1
SESP Brasilia
23 Sept
SESP Brasilia
0 : 0
Taguatinga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taguatinga 7 5 2 0 22:2 17
2 Sobradinho 7 4 3 0 29:5 15
3 SESP Brasilia 7 4 2 1 10:2 14
4 Legiao 7 4 1 2 16:3 13
5 Luziania 7 3 0 4 17:8 9
6 Gremio Valparaiso 7 3 0 4 8:21 9
7 Riacho City 7 1 0 6 6:40 3
8 Botafogo DF 7 0 0 7 3:30 0
Promotion - Brasiliense 2 2024 (Play Offs)