Sport Picks

Brazil

Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2023

Santa Cruz U20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Botafogo PB U20 play Santa Cruz U20 in the Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Botafogo PB U20 averaged 1.17 goals scored and 0.72 conceded. Santa Cruz U20 averaged 1.68 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Botafogo PB U20 won 1, Santa Cruz U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 7, 2023 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Botafogo PB U20 and 1.31 for Santa Cruz U20. This points to a Botafogo PB U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Botafogo PB U20

27%

Draws

30%

Santa Cruz U20

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Botafogo PB U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Botafogo PB U20 picked up more points recently compared to Santa Cruz U20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 64%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Botafogo PB U20 Clean Sheet 18%

Santa Cruz U20 Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 58%

Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Botafogo PB U20	Santa Cruz U20
Matches Played	18	31
Wins	9	14
Draws	6	7
Losses	3	10
Goals Scored	1.17	1.68
Goals Conceded	0.72	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2023 Copinha

Botafogo PB U20 vs Santa Cruz U20

Possession: 44% - 43% Cards: 1 - 4

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo PB U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Paraiba

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Santa Cruz U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo PB U20 42 / 100

Santa Cruz U20 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Botafogo PB U20 Santa Cruz U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Botafogo PB U20 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Botafogo PB U20 attacking → ← attacking Santa Cruz U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo PB U20 scored in 61% of their last 18 games.

Santa Cruz U20 let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Botafogo PB U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Santa Cruz U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 49

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tanabi U20	3	3	0	6:2	9
2	Real Ariquemes U20	3	2	1	4:2	6
3	Portuguesa U20	3	1	2	3:4	3
4	Nautico U20	3	0	3	1:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mirassol U20	3	3	0	0	6:1	9
2	Chapecoense-SC U20	3	1	1	1	3:3	4
3	Uniao ABC U20	3	1	1	1	3:4	4
4	Inter de Minas U20	3	0	0	3	1:5	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras U20	3	3	0	7:2	9
2	Juazeirense U20	3	2	1	6:4	6
3	Rio Preto EC U20	3	1	2	3:4	3
4	America SP U20	3	0	3	2:8	0
5	Santana EC U20	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico GO U20	3	2	1	0	4:2	7
2	Sampaio Correa U20	3	1	1	1	4:4	4
3	Itabaiana U20	3	0	3	0	7:7	3
4	Botafogo SP U20	3	0	1	2	6:8	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ U20	3	2	1	0	4:2	7
2	Floresta EC U20	3	1	1	1	2:2	4
3	XV de Jau U20	3	1	0	2	3:4	3
4	Aparecidense U20	3	1	0	2	2:3	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ceilandia U20	3	1	2	0	5:3	5
2	Avai U20	3	1	1	1	4:4	4
3	Catanduva U20	3	1	1	1	3:4	4
4	America RN U20	3	0	2	1	5:6	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Athletico-PR U20	3	2	1	0	6:2	7
2	Picos U20	3	2	0	1	6:7	6
3	Barretos EC U20	3	1	1	1	3:3	4
4	Sao Bento U20	3	0	0	3	4:7	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gremio U20	3	2	1	0	6:1	7
2	Guarani U20	3	1	1	1	5:4	4
3	Francana U20	3	1	0	2	3:8	3
4	Cruzeiro Arapiraca U20	3	0	2	1	1:2	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cuiaba U20	3	2	0	1	12:2	6
2	Parauapebas U20	3	1	2	0	2:1	5
3	Velo Clube U20	3	1	1	1	4:4	4
4	Tupa U20	3	0	1	2	1:12	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20	3	3	0	14:1	9
2	Capivariano U20	3	2	1	8:7	6
3	Penapolense U20	3	1	2	2:7	3
4	Comercial MS U20	3	0	3	1:10	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sport Recife U20	3	2	1	0	4:0	7
2	Comercial U20	3	1	2	0	3:1	5
3	Internacional de Limeira U20	3	0	2	1	3:5	2
4	Volta Redonda U20	3	0	1	2	2:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Corinthians U20	3	3	0	11:1	9
2	Zumbi U20	3	2	1	4:4	6
3	Ferroviaria U20	3	1	2	2:6	3
4	Fast Clube U20	3	0	3	2:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Goias U20	3	2	1	0	5:1	7
2	AC Guaratingueta U20	3	1	2	0	4:3	5
3	Tirol U20	3	1	1	1	6:3	4
4	Gama U20	3	0	0	3	2:10	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Fluminense U20	3	3	0	0	9:0	9
2	Porto Vitoria U20	3	1	1	1	5:3	4
3	Imperatriz U20	3	1	0	2	4:10	3
4	Taubate U20	3	0	1	2	1:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Novorizontino U20	3	2	1	6:3	6
2	Vitoria da Conquista U20	3	2	1	5:4	6
3	Figueirense U20	3	1	2	5:6	3
4	Uniao Suzano U20	3	1	2	3:6	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Coritiba U20	3	2	1	0	5:2	7
2	Flamengo SP U20	3	2	1	0	3:1	7
3	EC Sao Jose (PA) U20	3	1	0	2	4:5	3
4	Guarulhos U20	3	0	0	3	3:7	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sao Paulo U20	3	3	0	0	10:0	9
2	CSP U20	3	1	1	1	3:5	4
3	Marilia AC U20	3	0	2	1	3:6	2
4	Porto Velho U20	3	0	1	2	2:7	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	America MG U20	3	3	0	0	9:2	9
2	Retro U20	3	1	1	1	6:5	4
3	Ponte Preta U20	3	1	1	1	3:3	4
4	Vocem U20	3	0	0	3	1:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Botafogo RJ U20	3	3	0	0	8:1	9
2	Sao Carlos U20	3	1	1	1	3:3	4
3	Pinheirense U20	3	1	0	2	5:7	3
4	Sao-Carlense U20	3	0	1	2	3:8	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bragantino U20	3	2	0	1	6:4	6
2	Lemense U20	3	1	1	1	4:4	4
3	Maringa FC U20	3	1	1	1	4:4	4
4	ABC U20	3	1	0	2	3:5	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ituano U20	3	2	1	0	6:2	7
2	Desportivo U20	3	2	1	0	5:2	7
3	Camboriu U20	3	1	0	2	3:5	3
4	CRB U20	3	0	0	3	2:7	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rio Claro U20	3	3	0	0	4:1	9
2	Sharjah Brasil U20	3	1	1	1	3:3	4
3	Madureira U20	3	1	1	1	2:2	4
4	Ceara U20	3	0	0	3	2:5	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	SKA Brasil U20	3	3	0	6:1	9
2	Aster Brasil U20	3	2	1	4:3	6
3	Parana U20	3	1	2	2:4	3
4	Vitoria U20	3	0	3	0:4	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Internacional U20	3	2	1	0	5:1	7
2	Osasco Sporting U20	3	2	1	0	2:0	7
3	Atletico Central U20	3	1	0	2	4:3	3
4	Fluminense Piaui U20	3	0	0	3	1:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	EC Sao Bernardo U20	3	2	0	1	5:3	6
2	Bahia U20	3	1	2	0	1:0	5
3	Operario PR U20	3	0	2	1	3:4	2
4	CSA U20	3	0	2	1	3:5	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Santo Andre U20	3	2	1	0	8:1	7
2	Santos U20	3	2	0	1	5:4	6
3	Falcon U20	3	1	1	1	3:4	4
4	Sao Raimundo RR U20	3	0	0	3	2:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico-MG U20	3	3	0	7:3	9
2	Agua Santa U20	3	2	1	5:5	6
3	Mixto U20	3	1	2	3:3	3
4	Galvez U20	3	0	3	1:5	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vila Nova FC U20	3	2	1	0	3:1	7
2	Nova Iguacu U20	3	2	0	1	5:1	6
3	Mauaense U20	3	0	2	1	2:5	2
4	Maua FC U20	3	0	1	2	1:4	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vasco U20	3	3	0	5:1	9
2	Hercilio Luz U20	3	2	1	7:4	6
3	Osasco Audax U20	3	1	2	1:3	3
4	Capital FC U20	3	0	3	3:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Botafogo PB U20	3	3	0	6:2	9
2	Ibrachina U20	3	2	1	5:1	6
3	Santa Cruz U20	3	1	2	1:3	3
4	Canaa U20	3	0	3	2:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Remo U20	3	2	1	0	4:2	7
2	Fortaleza U20	3	1	1	1	2:2	4
3	CA Juventus U20	3	1	0	2	4:4	3
4	Sao Caetano U20	3	0	2	1	1:3	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Piracicaba U20	3	2	1	0	8:2	7
2	Nacional SP U20	3	2	0	1	6:3	6
3	EC Juventude U20	3	1	1	1	6:5	4
4	Alecrim U20	3	0	0	3	2:12	0