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Botafogo PB vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Almeidao)
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botafogo PB play Barra FC (Santa Catarina) in the Serie C. It looks like a close match. Recently, Botafogo PB averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Barra FC (Santa Catarina) averaged 1.21 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. In past meetings, Botafogo PB won 1, Barra FC (Santa Catarina) won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Botafogo PB and 0.88 for Barra FC (Santa Catarina). This points to a Botafogo PB double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Botafogo PB
25%
Draws
30%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Botafogo PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Botafogo PB picked up more points recently compared to Barra FC (Santa Catarina).
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 25%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo PB Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Serie C
Botafogo PB vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo PB 46 / 100
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo PB Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Botafogo PB or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Botafogo PB attacking → ← attacking Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo PB scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Botafogo PB went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 41
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brusque1373320:1424
2Guarani1365223:1123
3Internacional de Limeira1364316:1422
4Santa Cruz1363413:921
5Paysandu PA1362519:1720
6SER Caxias do Sul1355313:1020
7Botafogo PB1361617:1519
8Maringa FC1354426:2419
9Ituano1354415:1319
10Floresta EC1354415:1419
11Ferroviaria1354412:1119
12Ypiranga FC1353516:1718
13Amazonas1352613:1817
14Volta Redonda1352610:1517
15Figueirense1344512:1816
16Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1336416:1415
17Maranhao133559:1314
18Itabaiana1334611:1713
19Confianca133288:1211
20Anapolis132389:179