Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botafogo PB vs Confianca

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Almeidao), Joao Pessoa
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Madison In: Iago Silva
Out: Madison
54' Event
Saimon
67'
Sub
Joao Pedro In: Danielzinho
Out: Joao Pedro

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Botafogo PB and Confianca finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botafogo PB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Botafogo PB
20%
Draws
20%
Confianca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Botafogo PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Botafogo PB come out ahead of Confianca on wins alone.
  • Botafogo PB are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 68%
Confianca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo PB Confianca
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.31 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Serie C
Botafogo PB vs Confianca
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 Serie C
Botafogo PB vs Confianca
3:0
Jul 13, 2024 Serie C
Botafogo PB vs Confianca
3:3
Aug 19, 2023 Serie C
Botafogo PB vs Confianca
2:3
Apr 23, 2022 Serie C
Botafogo PB vs Confianca
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Saimon
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kayon
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Confianca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo PB 77 / 100
Confianca 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo PB Confianca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo PB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Botafogo PB found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Confianca let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Confianca's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo PB VS Confianca
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo PB

(Home)
19 Sept
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Botafogo PB
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
22 Aug
Botafogo PB
3 : 1
Guarani
Page 1 of 6

Confianca

(Away)
29 Aug
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Confianca
22 Aug
Confianca
0 : 1
Anapolis
16 Aug
Confianca
1 : 1
Maringa FC
10 Aug
Paysandu PA
2 : 1
Confianca
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)