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Botafogo PB vs EC de Patos

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2025 Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Almeidao), Joao Pessoa
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Guilherme Santos
23'
Gama de Almeida M.
30' Event
Marcelo M.

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano 2025 game between Botafogo PB and EC de Patos finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botafogo PB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Botafogo PB
15%
Draws
51%
EC de Patos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC de Patos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • EC de Patos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Botafogo PB are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Botafogo PB here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 19%
EC de Patos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo PB EC de Patos
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.35 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Paraibano
Botafogo PB vs EC de Patos
1:1
Jan 15, 2025 Paraibano
Botafogo PB vs EC de Patos
3:0
Feb 23, 2019 Paraibano
Botafogo PB vs EC de Patos
3:0
Jan 20, 2019 Paraibano
EC de Patos vs Botafogo PB
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme Santos
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcelo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

EC de Patos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo PB 42 / 100
EC de Patos 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo PB EC de Patos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo PB found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

EC de Patos has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Botafogo PB stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo PB VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo PB

(Home)
19 Sept
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Botafogo PB
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
22 Aug
Botafogo PB
3 : 1
Guarani
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EC de Patos

(Away)
22 Feb
EC de Patos
1 : 0
Campinense
13 Feb
Treze PB
3 : 1
EC de Patos
08 Feb
Confianca PB
1 : 2
EC de Patos
04 Feb
EC de Patos
0 : 1
Pombal
01 Feb
Sousa
0 : 1
EC de Patos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 9 6 2 1 14:3 20
2 Botafogo PB 9 6 1 2 19:8 19
3 Treze PB 9 5 3 1 18:8 18
4 Serra Branca 9 5 2 2 21:8 17
5 Campinense 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
6 EC de Patos 9 3 1 5 14:16 10
7 Pombal 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
8 Nacional PB 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
9 Auto Esporte 9 1 4 4 9:16 7
10 Picuiense 9 0 1 8 5:35 1
11 CSP 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 (Main)