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Botafogo PB vs Floresta EC

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Almeidao), Joao Pessoa
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Garraty
10' Event
Nene
26'
Eliandro

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Botafogo PB and Floresta EC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Floresta EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Botafogo PB
30%
Draws
20%
Floresta EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Botafogo PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Very High Confidence
  • Botafogo PB carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Botafogo PB's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 68%
Floresta EC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo PB Floresta EC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Serie C
Botafogo PB vs Floresta EC
1:2
May 11, 2025 Serie C
Botafogo PB vs Floresta EC
2:3
Apr 21, 2024 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Botafogo PB
1:2
Jun 4, 2023 Serie C
Botafogo PB vs Floresta EC
1:1
Jul 9, 2022 Serie C
Botafogo PB vs Floresta EC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Nene
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Floresta EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Garraty
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eliandro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo PB 95 / 100
Floresta EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo PB Floresta EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Botafogo PB stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Botafogo PB's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Floresta EC let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo PB VS Floresta EC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo PB

(Home)
26 Jul
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 2
Botafogo PB
12 Jul
Botafogo PB
2 : 0
Confianca
06 Jul
Anapolis
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
30 Jun
Botafogo PB
2 : 0
Brusque
20 Jun
Botafogo PB
2 : 0
Volta Redonda
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Floresta EC

(Away)
27 Jul
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Maringa FC
11 Jul
SER Caxias do Sul
0 : 0
Floresta EC
04 Jul
Guarani
0 : 0
Floresta EC
27 Jun
Floresta EC
2 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
21 Jun
Brusque
2 : 1
Floresta EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 15 8 3 4 21:15 27
2 Guarani 15 7 5 3 28:15 26
3 Botafogo PB 15 8 1 6 21:16 25
4 Internacional de Limeira 15 7 4 4 18:17 25
5 Santa Cruz 15 7 3 5 15:11 24
6 Paysandu PA 15 7 2 6 23:21 23
7 Maringa FC 15 6 5 4 28:25 23
8 Ferroviaria 15 6 5 4 15:12 23
9 Ypiranga FC 15 6 3 6 18:19 21
10 SER Caxias do Sul 15 5 6 4 14:12 21
11 Floresta EC 15 5 6 4 16:15 21
12 Amazonas 15 6 2 7 15:20 20
13 Figueirense 15 5 5 5 13:18 20
14 Ituano 15 5 4 6 16:17 19
15 Volta Redonda 15 5 3 7 11:19 18
16 Maranhao 15 4 6 5 11:14 18
17 Itabaiana 15 4 5 6 13:18 17
18 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 15 3 6 6 17:17 15
19 Anapolis 15 3 3 9 13:19 12
20 Confianca 15 3 3 9 9:15 12
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)