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Botafogo PB vs Guarani Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Almeidao), Joao Pessoa
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Joao Paulo
45'
Lucas Candido
51'
Thallyson

AI Match Summary

Botafogo PB in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Botafogo PB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Botafogo PB
30%
Draws
39%
Guarani
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Guarani haven't matched Botafogo PB's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Guarani have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 20%
Guarani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo PB Guarani
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.26 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.87 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Serie C
Botafogo PB vs Guarani
3:1
May 4, 2025 Serie C
Guarani vs Botafogo PB
2:1
Jul 13, 1978 Serie A Betano
Guarani vs Botafogo PB
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Candido
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bastos R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.44
Avg xA / game 0.94

Guarani Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Paulo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo PB 32 / 100
Guarani 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo PB Guarani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo PB's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Guarani let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Botafogo PB has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo PB VS Guarani
1.88 Goals Scored 1.57
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.86
88% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 86%
25% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo PB

(Home)
26 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 0
Maringa FC
19 Sept
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Botafogo PB
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
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Guarani

(Away)
29 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Brusque
22 Aug
Botafogo PB
3 : 1
Guarani
17 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Ypiranga FC
10 Aug
Anapolis
2 : 1
Guarani
27 Jul
Guarani
3 : 1
Internacional de Limeira
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)