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Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Almeidao), Joao Pessoa
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botafogo PB host Santa Cruz in the Serie C. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Botafogo PB at 1.28 goals for, 1.14 against; Santa Cruz at 0.97 for, 0.76 against. Past meetings favor Santa Cruz slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.00 - 0.88) back Santa Cruz to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Botafogo PB
35%
Draws
55%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santa Cruz come out ahead of Botafogo PB on wins alone.
  • Santa Cruz are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo PB Santa Cruz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.28 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie C
Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB
1:0
Aug 8, 2026 Serie C
Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz
2:2
Jan 8, 2023 Copa do Nordeste
Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB
2:1
Sep 25, 2021 Serie C
Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB
1:1
Jul 24, 2021 Serie C
Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo PB 20 / 100
Santa Cruz 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo PB Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Botafogo PB scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Santa Cruz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Botafogo PB has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo PB VS Santa Cruz
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo PB

(Home)
03 Oct
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Botafogo PB
26 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 0
Maringa FC
19 Sept
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Botafogo PB
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
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Santa Cruz

(Away)
03 Oct
Santa Cruz
1 : 1
Maringa FC
26 Sept
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Floresta EC
12 Sept
Maringa FC
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
2 Internacional de Limeira 5 1 4 0 11:9 7
3 Brusque 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
4 Paysandu PA 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz 5 3 2 0 5:2 11
2 Maringa FC 5 2 2 1 4:2 8
3 Floresta EC 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
4 Botafogo PB 5 0 2 3 1:5 2
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)