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Botafogo PB W vs Liga de Guarabira W

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botafogo PB W play Liga de Guarabira W in the Paraibano Women. Botafogo PB W are favorites here. Recently, Botafogo PB W averaged 4.27 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Liga de Guarabira W averaged 1.7 goals scored and 6.3 conceded. In past meetings, Botafogo PB W won 1, Liga de Guarabira W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 5, 2025 ended 17:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 4.00 for Botafogo PB W and 1.63 for Liga de Guarabira W. This points to a Botafogo PB W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Botafogo PB W
15%
Draws
26%
Liga de Guarabira W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botafogo PB W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Botafogo PB W picked up more points recently compared to Liga de Guarabira W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (4.00 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Botafogo PB W Clean Sheet 14%
Liga de Guarabira W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo PB W Liga de Guarabira W
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 15 3
Draws 1 0
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 4.27 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.3 6.3
Expected Goals (xG) 4.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 6.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2025 Paraibano Women
Botafogo PB W vs Liga de Guarabira W
17:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo PB W 56 / 100
Liga de Guarabira W 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo PB W Liga de Guarabira W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo PB W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Botafogo PB W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Botafogo PB W attacking → ← attacking Liga de Guarabira W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo PB W scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Liga de Guarabira W let in goals in 90% of their last 10 matches.

Games between these two average 17.00 goals.

Botafogo PB W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Liga de Guarabira W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 9
4.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 6.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mixto PB W440031:112
2Marretinha W421118:107
3Fluminense-PB W41218:55
4Guara W41033:343
5Serrano PB W40132:121
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Botafogo PB W440049:112
2Spartax W421119:37
3Kashima W42117:67
4Liga de Guarabira W41036:343
5Picuiense W40043:400