Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botafogo RJ vs Bangu

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Montoro A.
21'
Lucas Sibito
54'
Anselmi M.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca game between Botafogo RJ and Bangu finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botafogo RJ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Botafogo RJ
35%
Draws
32%
Bangu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Botafogo RJ carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Botafogo RJ a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Botafogo RJ have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Botafogo RJ Clean Sheet 68%
Bangu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo RJ Bangu
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Carioca
Botafogo RJ vs Bangu
3:1
Jan 25, 2026 Carioca
Botafogo RJ vs Bangu
2:0
Jan 26, 2025 Carioca
Botafogo RJ vs Bangu
2:0
Jan 20, 2024 Carioca
Botafogo RJ vs Bangu
2:0
Feb 11, 2023 Carioca
Botafogo RJ vs Bangu
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bangu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo RJ 51 / 100
Bangu 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo RJ Bangu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo RJ found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Bangu conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Botafogo RJ stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo RJ VS Bangu
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo RJ

(Home)
19 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 0
Botafogo RJ
16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2
Gremio
12 Sept
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1
Bragantino
06 Sept
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0
Palmeiras
30 Aug
Flamengo RJ
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ
Page 1 of 6

Bangu

(Away)
22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1
Olaria
15 Jul
Olaria
2 : 0
Bangu
07 Mar
Botafogo RJ
3 : 1
Bangu
27 Feb
Volta Redonda
1 : 1
Bangu
20 Feb
Bangu
1 : 0
Volta Redonda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense 6 5 0 1 9:5 15
2 Vasco 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
3 Volta Redonda 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
4 Bangu 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
5 Portuguesa RJ 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
6 Sampaio Correa FE 6 2 1 3 7:14 7
Promotion - Carioca (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo RJ 6 3 0 3 6:5 9
2 Madureira 6 2 2 2 5:6 8
3 Boavista 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
4 Flamengo RJ 6 2 1 3 11:9 7
5 Nova Iguacu 6 1 2 3 8:9 5
6 Marica 6 1 0 5 5:10 3
Promotion - Carioca (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca (Relegation Group)