Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

Botafogo RJ

2 - 1

Racing Club

Our Tip

Match Events

Fernandez A.

19'

Di Cesare M.

Own Goal

26'

Barria K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Botafogo RJ in this Copa Sudamericana tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Botafogo RJ

44%

Draws

20%

Racing Club

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Botafogo RJ have won more games recently than Racing Club.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
Botafogo RJ have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Racing Club, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%

Botafogo RJ Clean Sheet 20%

Racing Club Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Botafogo RJ	Racing Club
Matches Played	27	27
Wins	14	10
Draws	6	8
Losses	7	9
Goals Scored	1.5	1.43
Goals Conceded	1	0.71
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Botafogo RJ vs Racing Club

2:1

Apr 15, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Racing Club vs Botafogo RJ

2:3

Feb 28, 2025 Recopa Sudamericana

Botafogo RJ vs Racing Club

0:2

Feb 21, 2025 Recopa Sudamericana

Racing Club vs Botafogo RJ

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Danilo

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Racing Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.3

Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo RJ 36 / 100

Racing Club 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Botafogo RJ Racing Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo RJ found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).

Racing Club let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Botafogo RJ went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo RJ VS Racing Club

1.5 Goals Scored 1.43

1 Goals Conceded 0.71

88% Over 1.5 57%

50% Over 2.5 43%

25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo RJ

(Home)

16 Jul

Botafogo RJ

2 : 1

Santos

30 May

Bahia

2 : 1

Botafogo RJ

27 May

Caracas

1 : 3

Botafogo RJ

23 May

Sao Paulo

1 : 1

Botafogo RJ

21 May

Independiente

0 : 3

Botafogo RJ

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Racing Club

(Away)

16 Jul

Racing Club

4 : 1

Defensa y Justicia

27 May

Racing Club

2 : 0

Independiente

22 May

Racing Club

2 : 2

Caracas

13 May

Rosario Central

2 : 1

Racing Club

10 May

Estudiantes L.P.

0 : 1

Racing Club

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