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Botafogo RJ vs Santos

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos
Thu, Jul 16, 2026
VS
10:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

No Data

No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Botafogo RJ host Santos in the Serie A Betano. Little to choose between these two on current form. Santos have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Botafogo RJ have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.75. Past meetings favor Botafogo RJ slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 26, 2025, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.63, favoring Botafogo RJ. Botafogo RJ in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Botafogo RJ
28%
Draws
50%
Santos
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Santos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Botafogo RJ has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Santos.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Santos.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie A Betano provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Botafogo RJ Clean Sheet 14%
Santos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo RJ Santos
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Serie A Betano
Botafogo RJ vs Santos
2:2
Jun 1, 2025 Serie A Betano
Santos vs Botafogo RJ
0:1
Nov 26, 2023 Serie A Betano
Botafogo RJ vs Santos
1:1
Jul 23, 2023 Serie A Betano
Santos vs Botafogo RJ
2:2
Nov 10, 2022 Serie A Betano
Botafogo RJ vs Santos
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo RJ 23 / 100
Santos 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo RJ Santos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo RJ scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Santos let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Botafogo RJ went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Santos lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo RJ VS Santos
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras18125130:1341
2Flamengo RJ17104331:1634
3Fluminense1894528:2331
4Athletico-PR1893624:1830
5Bragantino1892725:1929
6Bahia1775525:2326
7Coritiba1875624:2426
8Sao Paulo1874723:2025
9Atletico-MG1873822:2324
10Corinthians1866618:1924
11Cruzeiro1866624:2824
12Botafogo RJ1764731:3122
13Vitoria1764721:2522
14Internacional1856721:2221
15Santos1856726:2921
16Gremio1856720:2321
17Vasco1855822:2920
18Remo1846821:2918
19Mirassol1744918:2416
20Chapecoense-SC17161017:339