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Botafogo RJ W vs Duque de Caxias W

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Women 2024 Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Nalon N.
17' Event
Mayara Vaz
21' Event
Pamela

AI Match Summary

The Carioca Women 2024 game between Botafogo RJ W and Duque de Caxias W finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botafogo RJ W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Botafogo RJ W
11%
Draws
9%
Duque de Caxias W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Botafogo RJ W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Duque de Caxias W haven't matched Botafogo RJ W's recent run of results.
  • Botafogo RJ W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Botafogo RJ W Clean Sheet 20%
Duque de Caxias W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo RJ W Duque de Caxias W
Matches Played 30 13
Wins 9 3
Draws 7 1
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 Carioca Women
Botafogo RJ W vs Duque de Caxias W
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo RJ W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nalon N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mayara Vaz
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Duque de Caxias W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo RJ W 76 / 100
Duque de Caxias W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo RJ W Duque de Caxias W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Botafogo RJ W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Duque de Caxias W conceded in 69% of 13 recent games.

Duque de Caxias W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo RJ W VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo RJ W

(Home)
17 Jul
Vitoria W
2 : 0
Botafogo RJ W
27 May
Botafogo RJ W
3 : 0
EC Juventude W
24 May
Botafogo RJ W
0 : 3
America Mineiro W
19 May
Palmeiras W
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ W
11 May
Internacional W
1 : 0
Botafogo RJ W
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Duque de Caxias W

(Away)
26 Oct
Botafogo RJ W
7 : 0
Duque de Caxias W
23 Oct
Boavista W
0 : 3
Duque de Caxias W
19 Oct
Olaria W
0 : 2
Duque de Caxias W
16 Oct
Duque de Caxias W
1 : 2
Perolas Negras W
12 Oct
CR Flamengo W
7 : 0
Duque de Caxias W
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Botafogo RJ W550029:215
2CR Flamengo W550019:115
3Perolas Negras W53118:410
4EC Resende W52124:97
5Olaria W51042:253
6Boavista W50051:360
Promotion - Carioca Women 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fluminense W640229:512
2Vasco W631227:510
3CEAC/Araruama W621311:107
4Duque de Caxias W62046:186
5Serra Macaense W61054:253
Promotion - Carioca Women 2024 (Play Offs)