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Botafogo RJ W vs Fortaleza W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women 2025 Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos
Sat, Aug 16, 2025
2 - 1
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botafogo RJ W play Fortaleza W in the Brasileiro A2 Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Botafogo RJ W averaged 2.81 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. Fortaleza W averaged 5.7 goals scored and 0.53 conceded. In past meetings, Botafogo RJ W won 1, Fortaleza W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 16, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Botafogo RJ W and 2.35 for Fortaleza W. This points to a Fortaleza W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Botafogo RJ W
25%
Draws
47%
Fortaleza W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Fortaleza W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Botafogo RJ W picked up more points recently compared to Fortaleza W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 2.35 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Botafogo RJ W Clean Sheet 10%
Fortaleza W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo RJ W Fortaleza W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 20
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 2.81 5.7
Goals Conceded 1.35 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 3.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Brasileiro A2 Women
Botafogo RJ W vs Fortaleza W
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Brasileiro A2 Women
Fortaleza W vs Botafogo RJ W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo RJ W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bia
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Fortaleza W Compare

Top Goalscorer Geicy
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.03
Avg xA / game 1.85

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo RJ W 27 / 100
Fortaleza W 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo RJ W Fortaleza W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fortaleza W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Botafogo RJ W attacking → ← attacking Fortaleza W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo RJ W scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Fortaleza W let in goals in 37% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Botafogo RJ W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Fortaleza W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 67
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 3.33
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00