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Botafogo RJ W vs Sao Paulo W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ellen Cristine
7' Event
Crivelari
14' Event
Crivelari

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro Women game between Botafogo RJ W and Sao Paulo W finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Paulo W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Botafogo RJ W
15%
Draws
85%
Sao Paulo W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Paulo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sao Paulo W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sao Paulo W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Brasileiro Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sao Paulo W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Botafogo RJ W Clean Sheet 10%
Sao Paulo W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo RJ W Sao Paulo W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 22
Draws 6 4
Losses 19 4
Goals Scored 1.77 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Botafogo RJ W vs Sao Paulo W
1:5
Apr 14, 2024 Brasileiro Women
Sao Paulo W vs Botafogo RJ W
3:0
May 12, 2021 Brasileiro Women
Sao Paulo W vs Botafogo RJ W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo RJ W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ellen Cristine
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Sao Paulo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Crivelari
2 Goals
Assists Leader Karla Alves
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.06
Avg xA / game 1.26

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo RJ W 10 / 100
Sao Paulo W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo RJ W Sao Paulo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Paulo W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Attacking prowess: Botafogo RJ W scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Sao Paulo W let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo RJ W VS Sao Paulo W
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.67 Goals Conceded 0.75
83% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo RJ W

(Home)
22 Aug
Gremio W
1 : 0
Botafogo RJ W
16 Aug
Botafogo RJ W
1 : 5
Sao Paulo W
10 Aug
Botafogo RJ W
1 : 2
Fluminense W
01 Aug
Cruzeiro W
4 : 0
Botafogo RJ W
27 Jul
Bahia W
2 : 1
Botafogo RJ W
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Sao Paulo W

(Away)
03 Oct
Sao Paulo W
1 : 1
Corinthians W
26 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 2
Sao Paulo W
19 Sept
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
CR Flamengo W
12 Sept
CR Flamengo W
1 : 3
Sao Paulo W
05 Sept
Sao Paulo W
2 : 0
Gremio W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo W 17 13 2 2 31:11 41
2 Corinthians W 17 12 2 3 42:18 38
3 Palmeiras W 17 10 6 1 32:11 36
4 Ferroviaria W 17 8 7 2 23:14 31
5 CR Flamengo W 17 8 6 3 29:20 30
6 Bahia W 17 8 5 4 30:21 29
7 Cruzeiro W 17 7 7 3 30:19 28
8 Gremio W 17 8 3 6 23:16 27
9 Internacional W 17 8 3 6 21:17 27
10 Bragantino W 17 8 2 7 30:26 26
11 Fluminense W 17 7 5 5 23:19 26
12 Santos W 17 6 5 6 22:23 23
13 Atletico-MG W 17 4 4 9 17:25 16
14 Mixto W 17 2 6 9 10:27 12
15 EC Juventude W 17 2 5 10 9:22 11
16 America Mineiro W 17 1 4 12 9:34 7
17 Vitoria W 17 1 4 12 15:45 7
18 Botafogo RJ W 17 1 2 14 10:38 5
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)