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Botafogo SP U20 vs Palmeiras U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Botafogo SP U20 have averaged 1.79 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Palmeiras U20's 2.47 scored and 0.81 conceded. Past meetings favor Palmeiras U20 slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 12, 2025, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.25) back Palmeiras U20 to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Botafogo SP U20
30%
Draws
38%
Palmeiras U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Palmeiras U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Palmeiras U20 have won more games recently than Botafogo SP U20.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Palmeiras U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Palmeiras U20, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Palmeiras U20 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Botafogo SP U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Palmeiras U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo SP U20 Palmeiras U20
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 23
Draws 9 5
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.79 2.47
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 Paulista U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Botafogo SP U20
3:1
Oct 3, 2025 Paulista U20
Botafogo SP U20 vs Palmeiras U20
0:1
Jun 28, 2025 Paulista U20
Botafogo SP U20 vs Palmeiras U20
1:2
Sep 6, 2024 Paulista U20
Botafogo SP U20 vs Palmeiras U20
2:3
Aug 24, 2024 Paulista U20
Palmeiras U20 vs Botafogo SP U20
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo SP U20 36 / 100
Palmeiras U20 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo SP U20 Palmeiras U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmeiras U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo SP U20 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Solid form: Botafogo SP U20 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Palmeiras U20 has conceded goals in 47% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo SP U20 VS Palmeiras U20
2 Goals Scored 2
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo SP U20

(Home)
26 Sept
Osasco Audax U20
0 : 0
Botafogo SP U20
20 Sept
Botafogo SP U20
4 : 1
Osasco Audax U20
12 Sept
Botafogo SP U20
1 : 1
EC Sao Bernardo U20
04 Sept
Velo Clube U20
0 : 4
Botafogo SP U20
21 Aug
CA Bandeirante U20
0 : 4
Botafogo SP U20
Page 1 of 6

Palmeiras U20

(Away)
25 Sept
Palmeiras U20
2 : 1
Ituano U20
21 Sept
Ituano U20
1 : 1
Palmeiras U20
16 Sept
Palmeiras U20
10 : 0
Naviraiense U20
12 Sept
Palmeiras U20
3 : 0
Sfera U20
08 Sept
Agua Santa U20
1 : 2
Palmeiras U20
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Flamengo SP U20 3
Ferroviaria U20 2
CA Bandeirante U20 1
Bragantino U20 11
Portuguesa Santista U20 3
Novorizontino U20 2
XV de Jau U20 2
Corinthians U20 5
Piracicaba U20 1
Sfera U20 2
Uniao Suzano U20 2
Guarani U20 5
Sertaozinho U20 1
Santo Andre U20 4
Gremio Prudente U20 0
CA Juventus U20 4
Capivariano U20 2
Agua Santa U20 1
Paulinense U20 3
Ibrachina U20 5
Osasco Sporting U20 3
Desportivo U20 5
EC Sao Bernardo U20 0
Sao Paulo U20 2
Ponte Preta U20 6
Portuguesa U20 1
Jabaquara U20 1
Santos U20 6
Botafogo SP U20 4
Osasco Audax U20 1
Ituano U20 2
Palmeiras U20 3
1/8-finals
Flamengo SP U20 -
Bragantino U20 -
Portuguesa Santista U20 -
Corinthians U20 -
Sfera U20 -
Guarani U20 -
Santo Andre U20 -
CA Juventus U20 -
Capivariano U20 -
Ibrachina U20 -
Desportivo U20 -
Sao Paulo U20 -
Ponte Preta U20 -
Santos U20 -
Botafogo SP U20 -
Palmeiras U20 -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -