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Botafogo SP vs CRB

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Santa Cruz
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Dada Belmonte
Assist: Lucas Lovat
45'
Everton Morelli
46'
Sub
Wallace In: Felipe Vieira
Out: Wallace

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Botafogo SP and CRB finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CRB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Botafogo SP
33%
Draws
27%
CRB
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Botafogo SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Botafogo SP come out ahead of CRB on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Botafogo SP taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 68%
CRB Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo SP CRB
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs CRB
0:1
Sep 24, 2025 Serie B
CRB vs Botafogo SP
3:2
May 26, 2025 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs CRB
2:1
Sep 25, 2024 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs CRB
0:0
Jul 17, 2024 Serie B
CRB vs Botafogo SP
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo SP Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

CRB Compare

Top Goalscorer Dada Belmonte
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo SP 50 / 100
CRB 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo SP CRB

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CRB conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Botafogo SP remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Botafogo SP scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo SP VS CRB
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma1796220:1233
2Vila Nova FC1794425:1931
3Operario-PR1794422:1831
4Novorizontino1786328:1630
5EC Juventude1785417:829
6Fortaleza1784520:1728
7Sao Bernardo1775523:1626
8Sport Recife1768321:1526
9Goias1774618:2325
10Atletico GO1766519:1924
11Cuiaba1759314:1124
12Athletic Club1758416:1623
13Nautico1763821:2121
14Botafogo SP1755720:1820
15CRB1755726:3120
16Londrina1754825:2519
17Ceara1746715:2018
18Avai1744918:2416
19Ponte Preta17221311:338
20America MG17141211:287