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Botafogo SP vs EC Juventude - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Vilar
32' Event
Wesley
35'
Lucas Mineiro

AI Match Summary

Botafogo SP in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Botafogo SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Botafogo SP
15%
Draws
48%
EC Juventude
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC Juventude

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • EC Juventude have won more games recently than Botafogo SP.
  • Model gives EC Juventude a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 16%
EC Juventude Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo SP EC Juventude
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs EC Juventude
4:2
Jul 29, 2023 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs EC Juventude
0:2
Apr 15, 2023 Serie B
EC Juventude vs Botafogo SP
1:2
Dec 2, 2020 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs EC Juventude
1:1
Aug 29, 2020 Serie B
EC Juventude vs Botafogo SP
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Wesley
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vilar
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

EC Juventude Compare

Top Goalscorer Patryck
1 Goals
Assists Leader dos Santos Barbosa P. R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo SP 28 / 100
EC Juventude 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo SP EC Juventude

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Juventude Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo SP found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Botafogo SP has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

EC Juventude let in goals in 33% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo SP VS EC Juventude
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo SP

(Home)
07 Oct
Operario-PR
1 : 2
Botafogo SP
03 Oct
Botafogo SP
0 : 1
Vila Nova FC
29 Sept
Botafogo SP
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1
Botafogo SP
14 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Goias
Page 1 of 6

EC Juventude

(Away)
07 Oct
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
EC Juventude
02 Oct
EC Juventude
3 : 0
Operario-PR
28 Sept
America MG
0 : 1
EC Juventude
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1
EC Juventude
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2
Athletic Club
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Juventude 32 17 8 7 37:19 59
2 Vila Nova FC 32 17 7 8 44:31 58
3 Novorizontino 32 16 9 7 54:27 57
4 Fortaleza 32 15 11 6 37:27 56
5 Criciuma 32 15 8 9 33:28 53
6 Atletico GO 32 14 10 8 40:30 52
7 CRB 32 15 6 11 49:45 51
8 Sport Recife 32 13 11 8 44:34 50
9 Operario-PR 32 13 9 10 44:43 48
10 Cuiaba 32 11 14 7 32:25 47
11 Goias 32 13 6 13 32:40 45
12 Sao Bernardo 32 12 9 11 44:34 45
13 Nautico 32 11 9 12 39:40 42
14 Ceara 32 11 9 12 35:39 42
15 Athletic Club 32 10 12 10 38:37 42
16 Botafogo SP 32 10 8 14 36:38 38
17 Avai 32 9 6 17 32:43 33
18 Londrina 32 7 7 18 40:47 28
19 America MG 32 4 5 23 21:53 17
20 Ponte Preta 32 3 4 25 17:68 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)