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Botafogo SP vs Goias Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto
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Match Events

18' Event
Hygor
27' Event
Jean Carlos
Assist: Leopoldino C.
42'
Lucas C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Botafogo SP and Goias finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Goias.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Botafogo SP
15%
Draws
51%
Goias
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Goias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Botafogo SP haven't matched Goias's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Goias's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 17%
Goias Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo SP Goias
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Goias
1:3
May 16, 2026 Serie B
Goias vs Botafogo SP
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Serie B
Goias vs Botafogo SP
2:3
Apr 28, 2025 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Goias
0:1
Sep 9, 2024 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Goias
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Hygor
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Goias Compare

Top Goalscorer Jean Carlos
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leopoldino C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo SP 12 / 100
Goias 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo SP Goias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goias Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo SP scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Goias's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Goias's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo SP VS Goias
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo SP

(Home)
29 Sept
Botafogo SP
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1
Botafogo SP
14 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Goias
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Novorizontino
03 Sept
Nautico
1 : 0
Botafogo SP
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Goias

(Away)
26 Sept
Goias
0 : 1
Atletico GO
20 Sept
Goias
2 : 1
Avai
14 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Goias
10 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Goias
05 Sept
Goias
0 : 1
Fortaleza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 30 16 6 8 43:31 54
2 EC Juventude 30 15 8 7 32:19 53
3 Fortaleza 30 14 10 6 35:26 52
4 Novorizontino 30 14 9 7 49:27 51
5 Criciuma 30 14 8 8 31:27 50
6 Atletico GO 30 13 10 7 37:27 49
7 CRB 30 14 6 10 45:41 48
8 Operario-PR 30 13 9 8 43:38 48
9 Sport Recife 30 11 11 8 40:32 44
10 Cuiaba 30 10 13 7 30:25 43
11 Goias 30 12 6 12 30:36 42
12 Sao Bernardo 30 11 9 10 40:31 42
13 Athletic Club 30 10 12 8 36:33 42
14 Nautico 30 11 8 11 38:37 41
15 Ceara 30 9 9 12 33:39 36
16 Botafogo SP 30 9 8 13 34:36 35
17 Avai 30 8 6 16 30:41 30
18 Londrina 30 7 7 16 39:43 28
19 America MG 30 4 5 21 21:50 17
20 Ponte Preta 30 3 4 23 17:64 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)