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Botafogo SP W vs Francana W

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Paulista Women 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botafogo SP W play Francana W in the Paulista Women 2013. Francana W are favorites here. Recently, Botafogo SP W averaged 0.58 goals scored and 3.35 conceded. Francana W averaged 1.19 goals scored and 2.56 conceded. In past meetings, Botafogo SP W won 0, Francana W won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 2, 2017 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.58 for Botafogo SP W and 1.90 for Francana W. This points to a Francana W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Botafogo SP W
15%
Draws
65%
Francana W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Francana W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Botafogo SP W picked up more points recently compared to Francana W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.58 vs 1.90 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Botafogo SP W Clean Sheet 10%
Francana W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo SP W Francana W
Matches Played 26 32
Wins 4 9
Draws 0 4
Losses 22 19
Goals Scored 0.58 1.19
Goals Conceded 3.35 2.56
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.17 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2017 Paulista Women
Francana W vs Botafogo SP W
1:0
May 21, 2017 Paulista Women
Botafogo SP W vs Francana W
0:1
Aug 4, 2013 Paulista Women
Francana W vs Botafogo SP W
2:1
May 19, 2013 Paulista Women
Botafogo SP W vs Francana W
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo SP W 20 / 100
Francana W 61 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo SP W Francana W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Francana W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Francana W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +66.6%
8.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Botafogo SP W attacking → ← attacking Francana W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo SP W scored in 35% of their last 26 games.

Francana W let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Botafogo SP W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Francana W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 31
0.67 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
2.17 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ferroviaria W12102065:532
2Rio Preto W1283141:1127
3Francana W1263318:1121
4Piracicaba W1262432:1520
5America Sao Manuel W1241717:3313
6Botucatu W1211107:544
7Botafogo SP W1210117:583
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Jose W14102233:932
2Centro Olimpico W1494141:1631
3Portuguesa W1466224:1424
4Sao Caetano W1472534:1823
5Cotia W1462623:2820
6Sao Bernardo W1432915:2811
7Taubate W1422109:288
8Paulista W1422108:468