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Botev Galabovo vs Hebros

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2011/2012 game between Botev Galabovo and Hebros finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botev Galabovo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Botev Galabovo
30%
Draws
35%
Hebros
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Botev Galabovo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Botev Galabovo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Botev Galabovo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Botev Galabovo Clean Sheet 19%
Hebros Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Galabovo Hebros
Matches Played 23 32
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 1
Losses 9 25
Goals Scored 1.39 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2013 Third League - South-East
Hebros vs Botev Galabovo
0:1
Sep 8, 2012 Third League - South-East
Botev Galabovo vs Hebros
4:0
Jun 2, 2012 Third League - South-East
Botev Galabovo vs Hebros
1:0
Dec 3, 2011 Third League - South-East
Hebros vs Botev Galabovo
1:2
Mar 23, 2011 Third League - South-East
Hebros vs Botev Galabovo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Galabovo 85 / 100
Hebros 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Galabovo Hebros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Galabovo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hebros's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Botev Galabovo's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Botev Galabovo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Botev Galabovo VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Galabovo

(Home)
08 Mar
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
Botev Galabovo
04 Mar
Botev Galabovo
0 : 1
Botev Plovdiv
29 Feb
Botev Galabovo
1 : 1
Spartak Pleven
22 Feb
Lok. Sofia
2 : 0
Botev Galabovo
15 Feb
Botev Galabovo
0 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Page 1 of 5

Hebros

(Away)
01 Jun
Rozova Dolina
3 : 0
Hebros
26 May
Hebros
0 : 3
Yambol 1915
19 May
Gigant Saedinenie
3 : 0
Hebros
15 May
Hebros
0 : 3
Vereya
09 May
Arda
0 : 3
Hebros
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rakovski 2011 34 23 6 5 91:30 75
2 Yambol 1915 34 23 6 5 71:24 75
3 Botev Galabovo 34 19 9 6 57:23 66
4 Svilengrad 1921 34 18 11 5 68:29 65
5 Asenovets 34 19 6 9 59:54 63
6 PFC Burgas 34 17 8 9 45:34 59
7 Dimitrovgrad 34 18 4 12 64:47 58
8 Sozopol 34 17 5 12 54:31 56
9 Brestnik 34 14 8 12 60:45 50
10 Zagorets 34 14 4 16 42:40 46
11 Arda 34 13 5 16 42:49 44
12 Spartak Plovdiv 34 9 10 15 51:57 37
13 Gigant Saedinenie 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
14 Levski Karlovo 34 9 7 18 32:64 34
15 Rozova Dolina 34 8 8 18 38:60 32
16 Hebros 34 8 6 20 43:58 30
17 Sportist Roza 34 4 6 24 21:98 18
18 Chirpan 34 4 3 27 13:89 15
Promotion - B PFG 2012/2013 (Main)