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Botev Ihtiman vs Bansko

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Botev Ihtiman and Bansko finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bansko.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Botev Ihtiman
15%
Draws
42%
Bansko
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botev Ihtiman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Bansko have managed 1.45 goals a game lately — Botev Ihtiman are scoring more at 1.53.
  • Win probability leans Botev Ihtiman's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 15%
Bansko Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Ihtiman Bansko
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.53 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Bansko
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs Botev Ihtiman
0:0
May 3, 2025 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs Botev Ihtiman
1:1
Oct 12, 2024 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Bansko
0:0
Apr 13, 2024 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Bansko
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Ihtiman 57 / 100
Bansko 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Ihtiman Bansko

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Ihtiman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botev Ihtiman scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Bansko let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Botev Ihtiman has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Botev Ihtiman VS Bansko
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Ihtiman

(Home)
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
12 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 2
Natsional Sofia
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4
Botev Ihtiman
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
22 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
Page 1 of 6

Bansko

(Away)
19 Sept
Bansko
3 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
12 Sept
Strumska Slava
3 : 0
Bansko
05 Sept
Bansko
0 : 4
Oborishte Panagyurishte
29 Aug
Bansko
4 : 1
Belasitsa Petrich
22 Aug
Minyor Pernik
1 : 2
Bansko
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rilski Sportist 34 25 5 4 58:23 80
2 Strumska Slava 34 20 5 9 71:45 65
3 Slavia Sofia 2 34 17 6 11 68:44 57
4 Botev Ihtiman 34 14 9 11 53:40 51
5 Kyustendil 34 15 5 14 49:52 50
6 CSKA Sofia III 34 15 5 14 49:43 50
7 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 14 7 13 43:37 49
8 Balkan Botevgrad 34 13 10 11 50:45 49
9 Septemvri Sofia 2 34 13 9 12 50:43 48
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 13 8 13 41:40 47
11 Kostinbrod 34 14 5 15 47:51 47
12 Pirin Razlog 34 13 6 15 43:48 45
13 Bansko 34 11 11 12 39:45 44
14 Slivnishki Geroy 34 11 9 14 40:49 42
15 Levski Sofia II 34 11 7 16 30:44 40
16 Gotse Delchev 34 11 4 19 43:70 37
17 Germaneya 34 4 6 24 38:75 18
18 Bistritsa 34 11 5 18 44:62 38
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)