Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026

Botev Ihtiman

1 - 2

Bansko

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Botev Ihtiman and Bansko finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bansko.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Botev Ihtiman

30%

Draws

34%

Bansko

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Botev Ihtiman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Botev Ihtiman come out ahead of Bansko on wins alone.
Win probability leans Botev Ihtiman's way, sitting at 36%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 12%

Bansko Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Botev Ihtiman	Bansko
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	10
Draws	7	10
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	1.13	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.63	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Third League - South-West

Botev Ihtiman vs Bansko

Possession: 45% - 47% Cards: 4 - 4

1:2

Oct 4, 2025 Third League - South-West

Bansko vs Botev Ihtiman

Possession: 43% - 49% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

May 3, 2025 Third League - South-West

Bansko vs Botev Ihtiman

Possession: 57% - 53% Cards: 3 - 0

1:1

Oct 12, 2024 Third League - South-West

Botev Ihtiman vs Bansko

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Apr 13, 2024 Third League - South-West

Botev Ihtiman vs Bansko

Possession: 53% - 42% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Ihtiman 35 / 100

Bansko 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Botev Ihtiman Bansko

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botev Ihtiman scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Bansko let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Botev Ihtiman has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Botev Ihtiman VS Bansko

1.13 Goals Scored 1.88

1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5

88% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38