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Botev Ihtiman vs Bistritsa

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Sat, May 30, 2026
3 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botev Ihtiman host Bistritsa in the Third League - South-West 2025/2026. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Botev Ihtiman have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Bistritsa's 0 scored and 3 conceded. Head-to-head, Botev Ihtiman have won 4 to Bistritsa's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.31, favoring Botev Ihtiman. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Botev Ihtiman
6%
Draws
4%
Bistritsa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Botev Ihtiman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Botev Ihtiman have won more games recently than Bistritsa.
  • Model gives Botev Ihtiman a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Botev Ihtiman have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 18%
Bistritsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Ihtiman Bistritsa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 1
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Bistritsa
3:0
Nov 15, 2025 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Botev Ihtiman
1:2
Mar 12, 2025 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Botev Ihtiman
1:0
Aug 17, 2024 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Bistritsa
3:1
Jun 6, 2024 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Bistritsa
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Ihtiman 85 / 100
Bistritsa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Ihtiman Bistritsa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IHT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bistritsa let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Bistritsa lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Botev Ihtiman found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Botev Ihtiman VS Bistritsa
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rilski Sportist34255458:2380
2Strumska Slava34205971:4565
3Slavia Sofia 2341761168:4457
4Botev Ihtiman341491153:4051
5Kyustendil341551449:5250
6CSKA Sofia III341551449:4350
7Oborishte Panagyurishte341471343:3749
8Balkan Botevgrad3413101150:4549
9Septemvri Sofia 2341391250:4348
10Septemvri Simitli341381341:4047
11Kostinbrod341451547:5147
12Pirin Razlog341361543:4845
13Bansko3411111239:4544
14Slivnishki Geroy341191440:4942
15Levski Sofia II341171630:4440
16Gotse Delchev341141943:7037
17Germaneya34462438:7518
18Bistritsa341151844:6238