Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Botev Ihtiman vs Bistritsa

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Sat, May 30, 2026
3 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botev Ihtiman host Bistritsa in the Third League - South-West 2025/2026. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Botev Ihtiman have averaged 1.55 scored and 1.35 conceded recently, against Bistritsa's 1.07 scored and 2.07 conceded. Head-to-head, Botev Ihtiman have won 4 to Bistritsa's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 2.38 vs 1.19, favoring Botev Ihtiman. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Botev Ihtiman
15%
Draws
0%
Bistritsa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botev Ihtiman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Botev Ihtiman have won more games recently than Bistritsa.
  • Model gives Botev Ihtiman a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • Botev Ihtiman have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 20%
Bistritsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Ihtiman Bistritsa
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 1
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.55 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.35 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Bistritsa
3:0
Nov 15, 2025 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Botev Ihtiman
1:2
Mar 12, 2025 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Botev Ihtiman
1:0
Aug 17, 2024 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Bistritsa
3:1
Jun 6, 2024 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Bistritsa
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Ihtiman 85 / 100
Bistritsa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Ihtiman Bistritsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Ihtiman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bistritsa let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Bistritsa lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Botev Ihtiman found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Botev Ihtiman VS Bistritsa
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Ihtiman

(Home)
26 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
12 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 2
Natsional Sofia
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4
Botev Ihtiman
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
Page 1 of 7

Bistritsa

(Away)
30 May
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 0
Bistritsa
23 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3
CSKA Sofia III
16 May
Levski Sofia II
3 : 0
Bistritsa
09 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3
Septemvri Simitli
02 May
Slivnishki Geroy
3 : 0
Bistritsa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rilski Sportist 34 25 5 4 58:23 80
2 Strumska Slava 34 20 5 9 71:45 65
3 Slavia Sofia 2 34 17 6 11 68:44 57
4 Botev Ihtiman 34 14 9 11 53:40 51
5 Kyustendil 34 15 5 14 49:52 50
6 CSKA Sofia III 34 15 5 14 49:43 50
7 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 14 7 13 43:37 49
8 Balkan Botevgrad 34 13 10 11 50:45 49
9 Septemvri Sofia 2 34 13 9 12 50:43 48
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 13 8 13 41:40 47
11 Kostinbrod 34 14 5 15 47:51 47
12 Pirin Razlog 34 13 6 15 43:48 45
13 Bansko 34 11 11 12 39:45 44
14 Slivnishki Geroy 34 11 9 14 40:49 42
15 Levski Sofia II 34 11 7 16 30:44 40
16 Gotse Delchev 34 11 4 19 43:70 37
17 Germaneya 34 4 6 24 38:75 18
18 Bistritsa 34 11 5 18 44:62 38
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)